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Russia January 2019: Lada Granta leads, BMW, Hyundai and Skoda strong in market edging up 0.6%

The Lada Granta gains 43.6% and the Renault Logan 31.1% in January in Russia.

After being hit full frontal by Crimea-related sanctions, Russian new car sales had brilliantly rallied back, managing 16 consecutive months of double-digit gains between May 2017 and August 2018. Since then, the growth has petered out, with September (+6.2%), October (+5.2%), November (+10.1%) and December (+5.6%) marking the slimmest year-on-year gains in almost two years. The trend is confirmed in this first month of 2019, escaping a negative result by the skin of its teeth at just +0.6% to 103.064 registrations, a weakness partly to be attributed to a 2% rise of the VAT for cars in the country. Homegrown brand leader Lada (+2.5%) marks a 5th month-on-month market share gain at 20.9%, its highest in two years – since January 2017 when it held 21% of its home market. Kia (+2.5%) also outpaces the market in 2nd place with 15.2% share, well above the 10.3% it held in December and the 12.6% from the FY2018 but it’s Hyundai (+23.9%) that impresses the most near the top, lifting itself above 10% share at 10.5% for the first time since last September.

Renault (-1%) recedes year-on-year but gains 5 spots on December to #4, distancing Volkswagen (+10.9%) and Skoda (+23%) both in excellent shape. The best performer in the Top 10 is BMW (+28.3%) climbing up 7 spots on its December ranking to #9, a new all-time ranking record in Russia for the German premium brand and only its 2nd ever incursion in the monthly Top 10 after February 2015 (#10). Further down, Genesis (+279.2%), Jeep (+132.3%), Volvo (+112.9%), Porsche (+57.7%), Mini (+50.6%), Cadillac (+25%), Audi (+24%), Isuzu (+20%) and Infiniti (+12.4%) make waves, while once again recently-launched Chinese brands post some of the largest gains with Geely (+231.9%), Haval (+99.4%) and Zotye (+37.3%) all galloping ahead but remaining below 0.5% share.

Over in the models ranking, the facelifted Lada Granta (+43.6%) signs a third consecutive monthly win and 4th in the past 5 months, lifting its total to 44 wins since January 2010, by far the most prolific Lada in pole position this decade as it distances the Priora (12, last in August 2012), Kalina (11, last in July 2012), Classic (6, last in March 2011), Vesta (6, last in October 2018) and Samara (3, last in December 2011). As far as foreign nameplates are concerned, over the same period the Kia Rio led the Russian charts outright 17 times (first in November 2014) and the Hyundai Solaris 11 times (first in January 2015). The Lada Vesta (+5.7%) and Kia Rio (-5.1%) follow on the podium like in December while, the Hyundai Creta (+9.2%), Solaris (+27.4%) and VW Polo (+15.1%) all post very dynamic gains in the remainder of the Top 6. The Kia Sportage (-10%) is the 2nd best-selling SUV in the country despite a double-digit drop, with the Skoda Rapid (+9.2%) rallying back up 14 spots on December to #8 and the Renault Duster (-6.9%) up 13 to #10. Further down, the Hyundai Tucson (+137.3%), Toyota Camry (+40.1%), Renault Logan (+31.1%), Kia Optima (+20.8%), Skoda Octavia (+16.7%) and Nissan Qashqai (+13.3%) all lodge spectacular gains while the Skoda Kodiaq (+414.7%) is inside the Top 25 for the 5th straight month and the 6th time in the past 7 months.

Previous post: Russia Full Year 2018: Lada at highest since 2011, reclaims top spot with Vesta’s first win

One year ago: Russia January 2018: First ever monthly top spot for the Lada Vesta

Full January 2019 Top 53 All-brands and Top 25 models below.

Russia January 2019 – brands:

PosBrandJan-19%/18DecFY18
1Lada21,53120.9%2.5%11
2Kia15,69115.2%2.5%22
3Hyundai10,84310.5%23.9%33
4Renault7,7997.6%-1.0%94
5Volkswagen6,2006.0%10.9%56
6Skoda5,5365.4%23.0%87
7Toyota5,3205.2%3.3%45
8Nissan5,0034.9%-6.9%78
9BMW2,6302.6%28.3%1614
10GAZ2,6012.5%1.0%69
11Mercedes2,5242.4%0.6%1513
12Mitsubishi2,1062.0%0.1%1211
13UAZ1,9401.9%0.3%1112
14Mazda1,8121.8%-11.9%1315
15Ford1,7401.7%-44.4%1010
16Chevrolet1,3881.3%-21.7%1416
17Datsun1,0841.1%-14.2%1718
18Lexus1,0261.0%-14.2%1817
19Audi9000.9%24.0%1919
20Subaru4500.4%-27.2%2222
21Lifan4190.4%-53.0%2020
22Land Rover4050.4%-6.5%2121
23Geely3950.4%231.9%2634
24Chery3710.4%3.6%2727
25Haval3570.3%99.4%3135
26Volkswagen Vans3450.3%-5.5%2424
27Infiniti2710.3%12.4%3532
28Porsche2460.2%57.7%3030
29Peugeot2340.2%-43.6%3228
30Zotye2210.2%37.3%3336
31Volvo1980.2%112.9%2323
32Genesis1820.2%279.2%3839
33Honda1610.2%-47.7%2831
34Suzuki1590.2%-23.9%2526
35Citroen1440.1%-43.8%3433
36Jeep1440.1%132.3%3740
37Mini1310.1%50.6%3938
38Jaguar1180.1%9.3%3637
39Mercedes Vans860.1%-79.5%2925
40Dongfeng850.1%-33.6%4142
41Fiat580.1%-38.9%4245
42FAW500.0%6.4%4443
43Cadillac450.0%25.0%4044
44Changan260.0%-65.3%5241
45Isuzu240.0%20.0%4346
46Hyundai LCV210.0%-38.2%5150
47Smart150.0%-64.3%4747
48Iveco90.0%-70.0%4548
49Brilliance90.0%50.0%5051
50Foton60.0%-70.0%4649
51SsangYong30.0%-92.7%4953
52HTM (Hawtai)10.0%-50.0%4852
53Chrysler10.0%-80.0%5354

Russia January 2019 – models:

PosModelJan-19%/18DecFY18
1Lada Granta7,6307.4%43.6%12
2Lada Vesta7,0786.9%5.7%21
3Kia Rio6,2466.1%-5.1%33
4Hyundai Creta4,1874.1%9.2%54
5Hyundai Solaris3,8053.7%27.4%65
6VW Polo3,6933.6%15.1%46
7Kia Sportage2,7612.7%-10.0%1614
8Skoda Rapid2,5102.4%9.2%229
9Lada Largus2,3752.3%4.7%77
10Renault Duster2,3382.3%-6.9%238
11Lada 4×42,0482.0%-1.0%1513
12Renault Logan2,0362.0%31.1%2517
13Toyota Camry1,8731.8%40.1%811
14Lada XRAY1,8531.8%-3.1%1210
15Renault Sandero1,7971.7%2.1%n/a15
16VW Tiguan1,7161.7%-0.3%1012
17Kia Optima1,7121.7%20.8%n/an/a
18Skoda Octavia1,6181.6%16.7%1320
19Nissan X-Trail1,5881.5%-11.9%2124
20Nissan Qashqai1,5711.5%13.3%1822
21Hyundai Tucson1,5661.5%137.3%1423
22Renault Kaptur1,5541.5%-11.3%n/a18
23Toyota RAV41,4681.4%-7.8%916
24Chevrolet Niva1,3541.3%-22.7%1119
25Skoda Kodiaq1,2921.3%414.7%19n/a

Source: AEB

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