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Russia October 2020: Lada (+22.4%), Chinese (+59.3%) help pull largest sales gain this year (+7%), Kia K5 in Top 25

The Kia K5 breaks into the Russian Top 25 for the first time in October.

The Russian new light vehicle market is up a robust 7% year-on-year in October to 154.164 units: that’s the largest year-on-year gain of any month in 2020, eclipsing July (+6.8%). Note BMW and Mercedes now report quarterly for Russia. The AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee believes this strong result is pulled by the largest manufacturers, most flexible with deliveries thanks to domestic production infrastructure. The AEB expects two strong months in November and December and a 2020 Russia Forecast at 1.522 million units (-13.5%). We are more optimistic at 1.57 million units (-11%).

Lada (+22.4%) triples the market growth and remains by far the most popular carmaker at home with 24% share vs. 22.3% so far in 2020. Kia (+5.3%), Hyundai (-2.5%) and Renault (+5%) all slightly underperform but complete the Top 4 as they did in FY2019 and as they do so far in 2020. Skoda (+13.5%) is the only additional double-digit gainer in the Top 7 and  is followed this month by Volkswagen (+5.6%) and Toyota (+2.1%). Nissan (+107.4%) compensates for particularly weak year-ago volumes but remains very close to its YTD level at 3.8% share vs. 3.9% so far this year.

Last month Geely (+119.4%) hit the highest ever Russian ranking for a Chinese carmaker at #12 and in October it almost reiterates that historical feat, dropping just one spot to a splendid 13th place and 1.3% share .Ford (+42.4%) rallies back thanks to its LCV range while Haval (+5.9%) climbs back above Chery (+120.4%) still euphoric thanks to a slew of new models. Changan (+91.6%) is down two ranks on a record #20 last month to #22, with Foton (+188.9%), FAW (+109.3%), Cadillac (+98.7%), Hyundai LCV (+92.9%), Fiat (+43.2%), Isuzu (+30.7%), Citroen (+18.7%), Iveco (+12.5%), Jeep (+10.8%) and Brilliance (+10.8%) making sparks further down. All-in-all, Chinese brands shoot up 59.3% to 6.552 sales and 4.3% share vs. 4.4% last month.

Model-wise, both the Lada Granta (+8.9%) and even more impressively the Lada Vesta (+42.9%) outpace their home market to cement their domination. In fact, the entire Top 6 models are unchanged on last month and YTD, with the Hyundai Creta (-1.7%), VW Polo (+20%) and Hyundai Solaris (+16%) in tow. The Toyota RAV4 (+113.6%) scores the largest gain in the Top 15 at #9 thanks to the new generation, with the Nissan X-Trail (+187.7%), Renault Kaptur (+26.6%), Kia Sportage (+25.9%), Avtovaz Niva (+22.4%), Renault Logan (+19%), Hyundai Tucson (+16.3%) and Lada 4×4 (+15.3%) also very dynamic in the remainder of the Top 25. Among new launches, the Skoda Rapid PA II secures a 4th consecutive month inside the Russian Top 10 but is down one further spot to #10, the Skoda Karoq secures its 4th ever Top 25 finish at #23 while the boldly-designed Kia K5 brilliantly replaces the Optima and breaks into the Russian Top 25 at #25.

Previous month: Russia September 2020: Volumes up 3.4%, Skoda (+31%) shines, Geely up to Chinese record #12

One year ago: Russia October 2019: GAZ (+19.7%), Skoda (+16.9%), Haval (+322.9%) impress in market down -5.2%

Full October 2020 Top 53 All-brands and Top 25 models below.

Russia October 2020 – brands:

PosBrandOct-20%/19Sep2020%/19PosFY19
1Lada37,01924.0%22.4%1264,68022.3%-10.4%11
2Kia21,21713.8%5.3%2160,69413.5%-14.7%22
3Hyundai15,43110.0%-2.5%3129,44410.9%-12.4%33
4Renault14,3569.3%5.0%4102,4108.6%-11.8%44
5Skoda10,1016.6%13.5%675,2646.3%6.9%67
6Volkswagen9,7706.3%5.6%580,6406.8%-5.6%55
7Toyota8,0525.2%2.1%774,2216.2%-9.8%76
8Nissan5,8733.8%107.4%846,4083.9%-9.9%88
9GAZ5,0323.3%-22.9%936,7793.1%-24.9%99
10UAZ3,6662.4%-6.6%1025,2842.1%-16.4%1213
11Mitsubishi3,0082.0%-14.7%1122,6261.9%-30.1%1312
12Mazda2,2651.5%-10.5%1320,4251.7%-16.1%1414
13Geely2,0161.3%119.4%1211,7571.0%61.9%1821
14Lexus1,8061.2%-6.3%1915,9541.3%-9.0%1517
15Ford1,6471.1%42.4%1410,5560.9%-61.1%2015
16Haval1,6041.0%5.9%1813,2511.1%55.2%1620
17Chery1,4901.0%120.4%167,8550.7%59.7%2227
18Audi1,3710.9%-8.8%1711,5021.0%-10.5%1919
19Volvo9250.6%9.6%215,8690.5%-12.9%2422
20Datsun9040.6%-48.4%1512,9951.1%-28.9%1716
21Suzuki8320.5%-4.3%226,2280.5%11.2%2324
22Changan7800.5%91.6%205,5890.5%226.3%2533
23Land Rover7120.5%-16.5%244,8760.4%-28.8%2623
24Subaru6700.4%-4.4%234,7940.4%-19.5%2725
25Volkswagen Vans5240.3%-29.5%274,1790.4%-32.0%2926
26Porsche4200.3%-27.5%254,7210.4%-1.2%2828
27Peugeot3720.2%-8.1%263,3710.3%-10.3%3029
28FAW3370.2%109.3%282,2050.2%96.7%3241
29Citroen3360.2%18.7%292,5540.2%0.2%3132
30Infiniti1820.1%-16.1%301,4720.1%-51.2%3431
31Lifan1690.1%-23.5%341,1730.1%-68.2%3830
32Fiat1690.1%43.2%321,0830.1%9.7%4143
33Cadillac1550.1%98.7%311,1780.1%57.7%3745
34Jeep1440.1%10.8%351,3750.1%-8.5%3536
35Honda1260.1%-5.3%381,3040.1%-11.4%3637
36Isuzu1150.1%30.7%408050.1%17.5%4246
37Opel970.1%n/a374020.0%n/a4655
38Jaguar930.1%-37.2%397670.1%-47.4%4438
39Dongfeng890.1%-16.8%368030.1%-36.9%4340
40Genesis770.0%-57.0%331,0840.1%-37.8%4035
41Chevrolet680.0%-96.6%414600.0%-97.5%4518
42Brilliance410.0%10.8%441770.0%-15.3%4850
43Iveco360.0%12.5%422870.0%-12.2%4748
44Hyundai LCV270.0%92.9%461740.0%-36.7%4949
45Foton260.0%188.9%45910.0%-46.2%5151
46Niva110.0%new438,8220.7%new2144
47Chrysler30.0%-40.0% –250.0%-39.0%5354
48BMW00.0%-100.0% –29,6712.5%-12.6%1011
49Mercedes00.0%-100.0% –27,4972.3%-17.7%1110
50Mini00.0%-100.0% –1,8200.2%-13.3%3334
51Mercedes Vans00.0%-100.0% –1,1540.1%-6.3%3939
52Zotye00.0%-100.0%471580.0%-87.6%5042
53Smart00.0%-100.0% –560.0%-91.5%5247

Russia October 2020 – models:

PosModelOct-20%/19Sep2020%/19PosFY19
1Lada Granta12,7568.3%8.9%197,1668.2%-10.6%11
2Lada Vesta11,8537.7%42.9%284,3177.1%-8.1%22
3Kia Rio9,2516.0%6.0%367,9405.7%-13.0%33
4Hyundai Creta6,6884.3%-1.7%458,7864.9%0.0%44
5VW Polo5,6423.7%20.0%547,2764.0%0.3%56
6Hyundai Solaris5,2713.4%16.0%638,1423.2%-23.5%65
7Renault Logan3,9262.5%19.0%825,5862.2%-10.2%1010
8Lada Largus3,7432.4%1.4%1229,2132.5%-17.4%87
9Toyota RAV43,6762.4%113.6%729,7242.5%29.3%715
10Skoda Rapid PA II3,3202.2%new918,5731.6%new17 –
11Lada 4×43,2992.1%15.3%1822,6901.9%-13.8%1314
12Renault Duster3,2642.1%-4.9%1324,4762.1%-21.2%118
13VW Tiguan3,2452.1%-12.4%1026,9892.3%-7.4%99
14Renault Sandero2,9691.9%2.8%1421,3931.8%-14.4%1516
15Kia Sportage2,6461.7%25.9%1623,0511.9%-18.2%1212
16Hyundai Tucson2,5641.7%16.3%1716,2751.4%-12.6%2124
17Nissan X-Trail2,5491.7%187.7%2016,7001.4%1.7%1927
18Mitsubishi Outlander2,5181.6%5.8%2213,8931.2%-28.7%2523
19Toyota Camry2,4351.6%-9.3%1522,3861.9%-19.3%1413
20Skoda Kodiaq2,3781.5%0.6%n/a14,9611.3%-24.7%2422
21Renault Kaptur2,3521.5%26.6%2116,6291.4%-24.4%2019
22Avtovaz Niva2,3501.5%22.4%24n/an/an/an/a26
23Skoda Karoq2,2641.5%newn/an/an/anewn/a –
24Skoda Octavia2,0921.4%-38.5%1120,2341.7%-2.3%1618
25Kia K52,0731.3%newn/an/an/anewn/a –
n/aNissan Qashqai2,0311.3%85.3%2318,3191.5%-5.0%1821
n/aLada XRAY1,8331.2%-27.6%2515,5791.3%-35.4%2217
n/aMazda CX-51,6261.1%-12.5%n/a15,4341.3%-13.3%2325

Source: AEB

This Post Has 6 Comments
      1. Because german cars are not reliable and tough enough in extreme conditions and long journeys (USA/Canada/Russia/Australia)

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