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Brazil May 2020: Worsening health crisis kneecaps market down -75.8%

Chevrolet Tracker sales are lifted up 51.7% by the new generation.

Brazil is in the process of displacing the USA to become the new global epicentre of the coronavirus pandemic, going from 108.620 total cases a month ago to 555.383 today and 7.367 deaths when we published the April sales update to 31.199 today. Brazil had more daily deaths than the US during five of the past ten days. Yet some parts of the country are already reopening, illustrating President Bolsonaro’s strong anti-quarantine stance even though testing remains limited. One LMC Automotive analyst recently argued the real number of COVID-19 cases in Brazil may in fact already be above that of the US.

In a worsening health crisis, new car sales have remained almost frozen  in Brazil at -75.8% year-on-year in May to just 56.639 units after collapsing -76.8% in April at 51.362, monthly volumes unseen in 27 years. The large majority of dealers are closed, sales mostly occur online and some cities such as Sao Paulo which represents roughly 30% of the national volumes had virtually no registrations in May. The year-to-date tally is now down -38.1% to 640.525 units. Last month we predicted a 2020 volume down -25% to 1.99m units but we are now revising this forecast to a Full Year 2020 volume down -34% to 1.76 million units which would be the weakest annual result in 15 years: since 2005 (1.620.657).

Chevrolet (-75.8%) and Fiat (-72.1%) remain the two most popular brands in the country, with Volkswagen (-77.3%) lurking just two units below the Italian carmaker. Toyota (-75.5%) stays at #4 above Hyundai (-76.5%) and Renault (-78.5%) both overtaking Ford (-76.6%). Jeep (-76.3%), Honda (-79.7%) and Nissan (-78.4%) all roughly match the market and close the Top 10, while below Ram (+117.5%) takes off and BMW (-51.3%), Mitsubishi (-52%), Land Rover (-55.9%), Audi (-66.3%) and Volvo (-68.6%) all manage to contain their losses somewhat.

Model-wise, the Chevrolet Onix (-85.2%) loses markedly more ground than the market but remains the best-seller for the 58th consecutive month (no interruption since August 2015) and is with the Hyundai HB20 (-78.1%) the only nameplate selling upwards to 2.000 units this month. The Fiat Strada (-72.2%) shoots up 5 spots on April to #3, distancing the Renault Kwid (-79%), Fiat Argo (-68.4%) and Ford Ka (-81.9%). The Chevrolet Onix Plus remains by far the most popular recent launch but drops 4 ranks on last month to #7. Just outside the Top 10, the Chevrolet Tracker (+51.7%) scores the only year-on-year gain in the Top 55, and a double-digit one at that. The BMW 320i (+768%), Porsche 911 (+264.7%) and Ram 2500 (+117.5%) stand out below.

Previous month: Brazil April 2020: Chevrolet improves to 19.5% share in market down -76.8%

One year ago: Brazil May 2019: Chevrolet (+27.4%), VW (+30.3%), Renault (+47.1%) lift market up 20.2%

Full May 2020 Top 30 brands and Top 150 models below.

Brazil May 2020 – brands:

PosBrandMay-20%/19Apr2020%/19PosFY19
1Chevrolet9,96817.6%-75.8%1114,69917.9%-38.2%11
2Fiat8,77315.5%-72.1%292,42414.4%-34.2%33
3Volkswagen8,77115.5%-77.3%3102,33816.0%-33.8%22
4Toyota4,6458.2%-75.5%451,1408.0%-40.5%66
5Hyundai4,5238.0%-76.5%651,8468.1%-37.5%57
6Renault4,5138.0%-78.5%750,1567.8%-45.2%74
7Ford4,4207.8%-76.6%552,7618.2%-38.9%45
8Jeep2,5774.5%-76.3%831,1664.9%-38.0%88
9Honda2,4334.3%-79.7%1028,0104.4%-48.7%99
10Nissan1,6122.8%-78.4%924,8773.9%-31.7%1010
11Mitsubishi8701.5%-52.0%115,2960.8%-40.3%1312
12Citroen5380.9%-78.7%135,7050.9%-51.0%1211
13BMW5350.9%-51.3%143,3290.5%-28.7%1515
14Chery3960.7%-77.4%126,3521.0%-8.1%1114
15Peugeot3210.6%-83.0%153,9970.6%-55.6%1413
16Mercedes2940.5%-72.0%162,9520.5%-43.1%1616
17Audi2560.5%-66.3%201,9920.3%-40.9%1818
18Volvo2210.4%-68.6%172,0910.3%-28.7%1719
19Land Rover1720.3%-55.9%181,8210.3%-20.2%2020
20Kia1660.3%-81.3%191,9750.3%-51.3%1917
21Porsche1560.3%n/a219760.2%n/a21n/a
22Ram1240.2%117.5%235740.1%85.2%n/an/a
23Suzuki1020.2%-68.5%228710.1%-47.7%2221
24MAN770.1%n/a24n/an/an/an/an/a
25Iveco520.1%n/a258450.1%n/a2322
26Mini410.1%n/a26n/an/an/an/an/a
27Troller400.1%n/a29n/an/an/an/an/a
28Lexus280.0%n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a
29JAC230.0%n/a28n/an/an/an/an/a
30Jaguar160.0%n/a27n/an/an/an/an/a

Brazil May 2020 – models:

PosModelMay-20%/19Apr2020%/19PosFY19
1Chevrolet Onix3,2965.8%-85.2%154,0368.4%-44.5%11
2Hyundai HB202,2183.9%-78.1%227,0524.2%-39.7%33
3Fiat Strada1,9833.5%-72.2%819,0213.0%-36.4%87
4Renault Kwid1,8183.2%-79.0%920,1013.1%-38.4%64
5Fiat Argo1,7683.1%-68.4%1219,7243.1%-31.2%76
6Ford Ka1,7193.0%-81.9%426,1804.1%-38.0%42
7Chevrolet Onix Plus1,6813.0%new328,4164.4%new235
8Fiat Toro1,6622.9%-71.6%616,7442.6%-29.3%1011
9VW Gol1,6162.9%-80.6%720,9193.3%-33.9%55
10VW Polo1,5702.8%-74.7%1817,5152.7%-34.1%99
11Chevrolet Tracker1,5642.8%51.7%107,1601.1%-4.3%2947
12Toyota Hilux1,4442.5%-60.7%512,6122.0%-24.8%1822
13Ford Ranger1,4002.5%-26.0%176,9821.1%-11.3%3039
14Toyota Corolla1,3742.4%-73.5%1114,7922.3%-30.1%1314
15Jeep Renegade1,2932.3%-77.5%1316,6182.6%-38.8%1110
16Chevrolet S101,2672.2%-57.7%148,1321.3%-27.7%2528
17Jeep Compass1,2552.2%-75.3%1514,4032.2%-37.3%1512
18Hyundai Creta1,1232.0%-73.3%2713,4182.1%-31.6%1713
19Renault Duster1,0151.8%-59.2%194,9180.8%-50.8%4036
20VW T-Cross1,0071.8%-66.5%2015,1332.4%199.7%1225
21Fiat Mobi9921.8%-80.8%2114,4462.3%-33.5%1416
22VW Virtus9621.7%-80.8%2610,3581.6%-43.3%2320
23Honda HR-V9521.7%-77.1%3010,5731.7%-46.6%2219
24Ford Ecosport8511.5%-68.7%288,1581.3%-37.5%2427
25Hyundai HB20S8241.5%-77.9%258,0311.3%-39.2%2626
26Renault Sandero7881.4%-79.4%2911,8341.8%-38.9%1918
27Nissan Kicks7801.4%-82.7%2413,9262.2%-34.1%1615
28VW Amarok7251.3%-58.6%325,3730.8%-32.2%3543
29VW Saveiro6761.2%-81.7%1610,8751.7%-30.9%2121
30Honda Civic6641.2%-77.5%345,9760.9%-46.9%3233
31Fiat Uno6301.1%-62.2%474,4540.7%-42.7%4241
32Mitsubishi L2006031.1%-16.0%363,0200.5%-23.7%5259
33VW Voyage6011.1%-81.0%375,6250.9%-56.1%3429
34Fiat Cronos5971.1%-71.0%236,3651.0%-32.6%3138
35Chevrolet Cruze Sedan5911.0%-59.8%394,5200.7%-42.2%4144
36Fiat Fiorino5551.0%-56.2%514,3890.7%-29.4%4345
37Toyota Yaris Hatch5260.9%-83.7%357,7661.2%-48.8%2724
38Chevrolet Spin5110.9%-81.1%385,3150.8%-47.1%3632
39VW Fox/CrossFox5070.9%-84.8%447,3641.1%-59.5%2823
40VW Jetta4840.9%-41.6%602,0210.3%-56.9%6058
41Chevrolet Montana4640.8%-63.5%312,2980.4%-57.0%5756
42Ford Ka Sedan4320.8%-89.7%2211,1831.7%-40.6%2017
43Toyota Etios Hatch3790.7%-78.5%464,0650.6%-46.0%4442
44Citroen C4 Cactus3650.6%-75.4%564,0060.6%-39.3%4546
45Honda Fit3620.6%-84.4%545,0850.8%-55.6%3937
46Nissan Versa3610.6%-78.9%455,8170.9%-33.1%3340
47Toyota Yaris Sedan3510.6%-84.4%435,1280.8%-59.9%3830
48Nissan Frontier3490.6%-40.4%332,8670.4%-9.2%5362
49VW Up3310.6%-70.9%523,2450.5%-34.4%5051
50Renault Captur3220.6%-82.5%403,7280.6%-62.3%4731
51Toyota Hilux SW43030.5%-76.1%413,0730.5%-46.2%5150
52Renault Logan2790.5%-87.7%495,1670.8%-53.3%3734
53Chevrolet Equinox2760.5%-30.3%631,3110.2%-38.5%6871
54Fiat Siena2740.5%-83.4%533,9840.6%-48.0%4648
55Honda WR-V2660.5%-75.6%613,3400.5%-31.6%4957
56Renault Master2400.4%-69.0%422,3190.4%-37.2%5661
57Fiat Ducato2370.4%-47.0%481,7210.3%-9.1%6269
58BMW 320i2170.4%768.0%681,1930.2%57.4%7095
59Hyundai HR2160.4%-31.4%571,5770.2%109.2%6475
60VW Tiguan1990.4%-84.3%582,8460.4%-37.7%5455
61Toyota Etios Sedan1750.3%-87.4%552,2210.3%-57.3%5853
62Chevrolet Cruze Hatch1660.3%-54.3%701,4920.2%-34.0%6570
63Honda City1580.3%-88.4%592,7680.4%-59.1%5549
64Chery Tiggo 5X1560.3%-77.7%503,5060.5%62.8%4863
65Chery Tiggo 71310.2%new649630.2%new7298
66Ram 25001240.2%117.5%735740.1%85.2%90124
67Chevrolet Trailblazer1230.2%-39.1%656050.1%-48.6%8981
68Peugeot 20081150.2%-82.6%771,5800.2%-52.4%6360
69Volvo XC401020.2%-61.7%728230.1%-20.0%7891
70BMW X1970.2%-76.8%828220.1%-46.4%7972
71Chery Tiggo 2920.2%-82.1%831,4650.2%-42.8%6665
72Nissan March910.2%-77.6%661,7320.3%-20.6%6164
73Volvo XC60860.2%-67.9%678440.1%-30.8%7780
74Mitsubishi Eclipse Cross860.2%-61.4%717430.1%-26.1%8194
75Toyota RAV4820.1%-43.1%1001,4310.2%48.8%6773
76VW Express770.1%-76.6%789000.1%-30.6%7479
77Mitsubishi Pajero770.1%-69.8%845400.1%-11.9%9297
78Hyundai Tucson760.1%-79.1%896760.1%-71.7%8477
79Fiat Doblo730.1%-85.0%621,2840.2%-31.7%6968
80Peugeot 208680.1%-86.9%807420.1%-71.2%8267
81Mitsubishi Outlander660.1%-64.3%1033510.1%-60.0%106100
82Kia K2500650.1%-77.6%757730.1%-23.2%8090
83Audi Q3640.1%-51.1%1016050.1%-25.4%88107
84Mercedes C Class620.1%-79.3%888470.1%-41.3%7678
85Porsche 911620.1%264.7%873740.1%340.0%102139
86Kia Sportage610.1%-83.2%936910.1%-61.3%8374
87Range Rover Evoque610.1%n/a924160.1%120.1%99146
88Hyundai ix35590.1%-88.0%761,0400.2%-44.2%7166
89Citroen Jumpy580.1%-70.3%916280.1%-17.9%8599
90Audi Q5580.1%-66.9%903270.1%-41.7%107101
91Land Rover Discovery520.1%-73.2%749080.1%-17.8%7385
92Citroen Jumper510.1%292.3%1161390.0%61.6%121150
93Peugeot Expert500.1%-79.8%866240.1%-23.4%8696
94Renault Oroch470.1%-95.7%792,0580.3%-56.3%5952
95Mercedes A Class Sedan470.1%new853690.1%new103122
96Audi A3 Sedan460.1%-82.2%945430.1%-54.4%9189
97Suzuki Jimny450.1%-69.4%813820.1%-52.1%101102
98Troller T4400.1%n/a1093600.1%32.4%104114
99Range Rover400.1%n/a1022990.0%n/a108n/a
100Mitsubishi ASX380.1%-87.1%976160.1%-55.4%8776
101Peugeot Partner370.1%-71.5%1153510.1%-60.6%105105
102Peugeot 3008360.1%-83.3%1064530.1%-52.1%9693
103Nissan Sentra310.1%-87.3%985260.1%-57.8%9383
104Mercedes GLA300.1%-87.2%994850.1%-55.9%9488
105Citroen C3290.1%-90.9%1124310.1%-74.8%9886
106Kia Cerato280.0%-81.5%1042740.0%-68.8%111103
107Iveco Daily 30S13270.0%-66.3%1112870.0%-18.9%109120
108BMW 330E260.0%new105570.0%new136 –
109Mercedes Sprinter 416250.0%n/a1172440.0%n/a113174
110Mini Cooper240.0%n/a1102740.0%130.3%110161
111Mercedes Sprinter 314240.0%n/a1131960.0%n/a115n/a
112Audi A5190.0%-72.9%1261230.0%-43.6%122123
113Porsche Boxster160.0%-57.9%1141440.0%8.3%119142
114Chery Arrizo 5150.0%-93.9%1083970.1%-53.9%10092
115Mercedes Sprinter150.0%-48.3%129550.0%-74.8%138137
116Citroen C4L140.0%-92.0%692270.0%-68.3%114108
117Chevrolet Prisma130.0%-99.8%1218720.1%-97.5%758
118Iveco Daily 35-150130.0%newn/a610.0%new135 –
119Peugeot Boxer120.0%-61.3%951600.0%50.9%117143
120Ford Mustang120.0%-70.0%1181490.0%-17.2%118134
121BMW 330i120.0%-92.5%124670.0%-81.3%132112
122BMW Z4110.0%n/an/a740.0%n/a127141
123Foton Aumark 1039110.0%37.5%130400.0%25.0%143165
124Mercedes A Class100.0%-56.5%n/a980.0%-70.1%124132
125Mercedes CLA250100.0%n/a120410.0%-62.7%142164
126Iveco Daily 35S1490.0%-95.3%1234600.1%-36.8%95104
127Chevrolet Bolt90.0%new119690.0%new131n/a
128Audi A390.0%-62.5%127620.0%-42.1%134136
129VW Passat80.0%-91.9%n/a950.0%-83.6%125118
130Effa V2170.0%n/a125550.0%n/a137158
131Volvo S6060.0%n/a1281430.0%n/a120135
132BMW 118i60.0%n/a122650.0%n/a133n/a
133Porsche Cayman60.0%-70.0%n/a340.0%-41.4%144157
134Porsche Panamera60.0%n/a131290.0%-21.6%148147
135BMW i360.0%n/an/a210.0%n/a156n/a
136BMW 530E50.0%newn/a410.0%new141154
137Effa V2250.0%n/an/a280.0%n/a149175
138BMW 218i50.0%newn/a100.0%new173 –
139Chevrolet Cobalt40.0%-99.6%n/a4310.1%-92.5%9754
140Audi A440.0%-94.1%n/a710.0%-76.8%129126
141Kia Carnival40.0%-84.6%n/a520.0%-43.5%139144
142BMW M240.0%-20.0%n/a200.0%-52.4%157166
143Citroen Berlingo30.0%-94.1%n/a90.0%-95.2%174125
144Fiat Weekend20.0%-98.6%961180.0%-92.7%12384
145Audi A4 Avant20.0%n/an/a700.0%3400.0%130140
146Toyota Prius20.0%-96.8%n/a260.0%-94.7%151119
147Volvo V6020.0%-89.5%n/a250.0%-43.2%153162
148Lexus ES30020.0%-90.5%n/a240.0%-71.1%154160
149VW Golf20.0%-98.0%n/a210.0%-97.7%155116
150Audi RS420.0%-77.8%n/a150.0%-34.8%165172

Source: Fenabrave

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