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Russia April 2020: Late lockdown bridles market down -72.4%

First ever Russian Top 25 finish for the Kia Seltos.

20/06 update: Now with YTD Top 135 models.

As we anticipated last month due to a national lockdown implemented on April 2 and in place all through the month, the Russian new car market collapses in April at -72.4% year-on-year to just 38.922 units, the largest monthly sales decrease in Russian history, leading to a year-to-date tally down -19.1% t 415.102 sales. From just 8.672 confirmed COVID-19 cases at the time of writing the March 2020 update, figures have escalated exponentially to reach 232.243 cases as of May 12, almost instantly making Russia the 2nd most affected country in the world behind the United States (1.347.936) but above such hotspots as Spain (227.436), the UK (224.332) and Italy (219.814). This in turn means May sales figures won’t be much better. We now forecast a Russian market down -20% in 2020 to 1.4m units.

The VW Tiguan is the best-selling SUV in Russia for the first time.

Homegrown brand leader Lada (-70.9%) follows the market to 24.1% share vs. 21.4% so far in 2020, with Kia (-78.1%) holding onto the 2nd spit with 11.1% share despite a dramatic fall. Renault (-75%) edges up one spot on March to land on the third step of the podium, while Volkswagen (-67.6%) and Skoda (-58.7%) outpace the market to step up to #4 and #5 respectively. GAZ (-58.1%), Nissan (-58.9%) and Toyota (-69.7%) also contain their loss to below the market rate in the remainder of the Top 10, but Hyundai (-84.2%) and UAZ (-75%) aren’t so lucky. Further down, Changan (+52.7%) breaks into the Russian Top 20 for the first time and secures the only year-on-year gain in the entire market, let alone a double-digit one. Haval (-29.5%), Isuzu (-30.5%), Geely (-35%), Iveco (-35.9%), FAW (-43.6%), Suzuki (-52.4%) and Audi (-53.8%) post some of the best holds in market for April.

The Skoda Karoq is up to a record 14th place in April.

Model-wise, the Lada Granta (-75.8%) secures a 13th straight monthly win, but the Lada Vesta (-71.2%) is catching up, ending the month only 145 sales below. The Kia Rio (-79.6%) remains in third place while the VW Polo (-75.8%) edges up one spot on March to #4 and the VW Tiguan (-53.2%) is up 4 to break into the Russian Top 5 for the very first time, eclipsing its previous best of #7 hit from October to December 2019. The VW Tiguan therefore becomes the best-selling SUV in Russia for the first time, ending an insane 44 consecutive months of reign by the Hyundai Creta (-82.4%) which was the uninterrupted segment’s best-seller ever since its launch in August 2016.

Changan is the only carmaker in positive in Russia in April.

Worse: the Creta actually ranks #3 SUV this month below the 42 year-old Lada 4×4 (-58.9%) up to #7, its highest monthly ranking since April 2015. The Lada Largus (-64.7%) is also up to #6, its highest ranking since September 2015. Meanwhile the Renault Duster (-73.1%) returns inside the Top 10 at #9 as does the Skoda Octavia (-59.8%) at #10. The unusually low volume month brings about other surprises: the Skoda Kodiaq (-58.8%) is up 11 spots on March to lift to an all-time high 11th place (previous best #14 last January), the Kia Sportage (-71.8%) is up 8 to #12, the Skoda Karoq brilliantly breaks into the Russian Top 25 for the first time, landing directly at #14, the Toyota Prado (-57.2%) secures its first Top 25 finish since last September at #23 and the new Kia Seltos lodges its first ever stint inside the Top 25 at #24.

The Renault Arkana ranks #27 YTD.

A new YTD Top 135 Passenger Cars ranking is now available, and there’s a lot happening just outside the familiar group of models: the Renault Arkana points its bonnet at #27 while the Skoda Karoq makes its first appearance in a Russian YTD ranking, directly inside the Top 40 at #39.. The Haval F7 (#40) instantly becomes the best-selling Chinese nameplate in China and the only one inside the Top 40, toppling the Geely Atlas (#43), while the Haval H6 (#57) is down 10 spots on its FY2019 ranking, the Chery Tiggo 4 (#61) is up 29 and the Changan CS35 (#62) breaks into the Top 100. Among recent launches, notice also the Kia Seltos (#46), BMW X7 (#49), Changan CS55 (#121), Chery Tiggo 8 (#130) and Geely Coolray (#136).

Consult the full ranking here: Russia April 2020: Late lockdown bridles market -72.4%

The Haval F7 is the best-selling Chinese model in Russia at #40.

Previous month: Russia March 2020: Skoda (+41.7%), Toyota (+36.5%) help lift market up 4%

One year ago: Russia April 2019: Skoda (+16.2%), BMW (+13.1%), Geely (+260.2%) impress in 2nd market drop in 3 months

Full April 2020 Top 50 All-brands and Top 25 models below.

Full January-April 2020 Top 135 models below.

Russia April 2020 – brands:

PosBrandApr-20%/19Mar2020%/19PosFY19
1Lada9,39624.1%-70.9%188,99621.4%-22.4%11
2Kia4,33411.1%-78.1%256,20413.5%-22.8%22
3Renault3,1358.1%-75.0%435,1918.5%-16.0%44
4Volkswagen3,0937.9%-67.6%626,8876.5%-15.0%65
5Skoda3,0417.8%-58.7%724,0425.8%-6.8%77
6Toyota2,5656.6%-69.7%529,7967.2%-0.9%56
7Hyundai2,4266.2%-84.2%344,00210.6%-22.5%33
8GAZ2,2725.8%-58.1%913,3693.2%-20.7%99
9Nissan1,0392.7%-58.9%819,2644.6%-11.7%88
10UAZ8622.2%-75.0%138,1552.0%-27.1%1413
11Mazda7391.9%-67.3%128,3242.0%-5.7%1314
12Lexus6771.7%-64.4%145,2401.3%-10.3%1517
13Niva6591.7%new164,7161.1%new1744
14Audi6501.7%-53.8%174,5911.1%-3.8%1819
15Ford5331.4%-85.8%192,6750.6%-76.7%2115
16Geely5111.3%-35.0%202,9770.7%26.6%2021
17Haval4251.1%-29.5%184,4721.1%117.6%1920
18Suzuki3010.8%-52.4%252,2300.5%27.7%2224
19Chery2360.6%-58.4%231,9250.5%7.2%2427
20Changan2230.6%52.7%281,4680.4%329.2%2933
21Volkswagen Vans2190.6%-68.3%271,7100.4%-23.9%2726
22Porsche2040.5%-63.4%241,6150.4%4.2%2828
23Land Rover1890.5%-63.2%212,1880.5%-17.3%2323
24Datsun1710.4%-88.2%155,0481.2%-26.8%1616
25Mitsubishi1680.4%-94.6%119,4342.3%-31.4%1212
26Subaru960.2%-81.0%221,8170.4%-15.0%2525
27Volvo920.2%-85.7%261,7940.4%-20.6%2622
28Peugeot790.2%-79.4%291,1290.3%-12.9%3029
29Genesis760.2%-55.3%345070.1%-34.9%3435
30Lifan650.2%-86.7%374850.1%-73.8%3530
31Isuzu570.1%-30.5%432640.1%5.2%4446
32Citroen550.1%-78.6%308940.2%-3.8%3132
33FAW530.1%-43.6%383940.1%26.3%3841
34Dongfeng500.1%-70.4%413190.1%-33.4%4240
35Fiat400.1%-55.1%402850.1%-8.4%4343
36Jeep300.1%-82.2%334790.1%-29.6%3636
37Cadillac260.1%-66.7%353780.1%34.0%3945
38Iveco250.1%-35.9%44880.0%2.3%4648
39Infiniti220.1%-82.3%315370.1%-61.7%3331
40Jaguar200.1%-73.3%393270.1%-48.7%4138
41Honda170.0%-89.9%324470.1%-28.0%3737
42Hyundai LCV170.0%-81.9%49420.0%-73.4%4949
43Zotye150.0%-92.6%45860.0%-88.6%4742
44Chevrolet90.0%-99.5%422110.1%-97.3%4518
45Opel40.0%n/a47240.0%n/a5155
46Brilliance30.0%-81.3%46470.0%-20.3%4850
47Chrysler20.0%-33.3%50120.0%-29.4%5354
48Foton10.0%-96.0%48170.0%-78.2%5251
 –BMW00.0%-100.0% –10,8802.6%-16.9%1011
 –Mercedes00.0%-100.0%1010,3342.5%-16.6%1110
 –Mini00.0%-100.0% –7530.2%-4.8%3234
 –Mercedes Vans00.0%-100.0%363280.1%-33.1%4039
 –Smart00.0%-100.0%51310.0%-80.4%5047

Russia April 2020 – models:

PosModelApr-20%/19Mar2020%/19PosFY19
1Lada Granta3,0587.9%-75.8%132,7187.9%-20.7%11
2Lada Vesta2,9137.5%-71.2%229,6987.2%-21.9%22
3Kia Rio1,7374.5%-79.6%324,6365.9%-20.0%33
4VW Polo1,3723.5%-75.8%514,1923.4%-18.7%56
5VW Tiguan1,3323.4%-53.2%910,0972.4%-0.5%99
6Lada Largus1,2863.3%-64.7%810,1702.5%-22.2%87
7Lada 4×41,0932.8%-58.9%167,7441.9%-25.4%1514
8Hyundai Creta1,0792.8%-82.4%419,8944.8%-13.1%44
9Renault Duster9752.5%-73.1%118,0591.9%-32.2%128
10Skoda Octavia8202.1%-59.8%147,1801.7%-3.4%1818
11Skoda Kodiaq8102.1%-58.8%226,5531.6%-2.0%2022
12Kia Sportage7622.0%-71.8%208,0231.9%-22.6%1312
13Renault Logan7602.0%-76.3%138,5662.1%-22.8%1010
14Skoda Karoq7541.9%newn/a2,6570.6%new39n/a
15Chevrolet/Niva6591.7%-64.4%n/a4,7161.1%-37.4%2826
16Toyota Camry6491.7%-75.2%128,1792.0%-24.7%1113
17Skoda Rapid6221.6%-80.9%177,4331.8%-33.8%1611
18Lada XRAY6151.6%-73.1%235,7851.4%-33.8%2317
19Hyundai Solaris6031.5%-88.4%712,7093.1%-34.5%65
20Toyota RAV46011.5%-73.1%612,1962.9%49.9%715
21Mazda CX-55811.5%-60.0%186,1711.5%5.7%2125
22Renault Sandero5781.5%-82.3%157,2051.7%-26.8%1716
23Toyota Prado5781.5%-57.2%n/a3,5420.9%n/a3331
24Kia Seltos5351.4%newn/a1,7770.4%new46 –
25Renault Kaptur4281.1%-81.3%245,9181.4%-30.7%2219
n/aNissan Qashqai3680.9%-59.2%107,9061.9%5.0%1421
n/aNissan X-Trail3580.9%-51.4%216,8391.6%-7.7%1927
n/aHyundai Tucson3030.8%-85.6%255,3191.3%-30.6%2524
n/aMitsubishi Outlander810.2%-95.1%195,4881.3%-25.2%2423

Russia January-April 2020 – models:

PosBrandModel2020%2019%FY19
1LadaGranta32,7187.9%135,8317.7%1
2LadaVesta29,6987.2%111,4596.3%2
3KiaRio24,6365.9%92,4755.3%3
4HyundaiCreta19,8944.8%71,4874.1%4
5VWPolo14,1923.4%56,1023.2%6
6HyundaiSolaris12,7093.1%58,6823.3%5
7ToyotaRAV412,1962.9%30,6271.7%15
8LadaLargus10,1702.5%43,1232.5%7
9VWTiguan10,0972.4%37,2422.1%9
10RenaultLogan8,5662.1%35,3912.0%10
11ToyotaCamry8,1792.0%34,0171.9%13
12RenaultDuster8,0581.9%39,0312.2%8
13KiaSportage8,0231.9%34,3702.0%12
14NissanQashqai7,9061.9%25,1581.4%21
15Lada4×47,7441.9%31,9231.8%14
16SkodaRapid7,4331.8%35,1212.0%11
17RenaultSandero7,2051.7%30,4961.7%16
18SkodaOctavia7,1801.7%27,1611.5%18
19NissanX-Trail6,8391.6%20,9151.2%27
20SkodaKodiaq6,5531.6%25,0691.4%22
21MazdaCX-56,1711.5%22,5651.3%25
22RenaultKaptur5,9181.4%25,7991.5%19
23LadaX-Ray5,7851.4%28,9671.6%17
24MitsubishiOutlander5,4881.3%23,8941.4%23
25HyundaiTucson5,3191.3%22,7531.3%24
26KiaOptima5,3101.3%25,7071.5%20
27RenaultArkana4,9611.2%11,3110.6%36
28Chevrolet/LadaNiva4,7161.1%21,9951.2%26
29KiaCerato4,4751.1%14,9940.9%33
30Datsunon-DO4,3421.0%19,4531.1%28
31KiaSorento4,2761.0%11,0300.6%37
32UAZPatriot3,6250.9%15,1130.9%32
33ToyotaPrado3,5420.9%15,1460.9%31
34KiaSoul3,5400.9%18,5201.1%29
35NissanTerrano3,4770.8%12,6220.7%34
36HyundaiSanta Fe3,3600.8%11,5190.7%35
37KiaCeed2,9800.7%16,2030.9%30
38LexusRX2,7250.7%9,8550.6%38
39SkodaKaroq2,6570.6%n/an/an/a
40HavalF72,5930.6%3,2190.2%73
41MercedesGLC2,1820.5%8,5860.5%39
42BMWX52,0250.5%5,2750.3%55
43GeelyAtlas1,9270.5%7,5360.4%41
44MitsubishiPajero Sport1,7980.4%6,9090.4%45
45VWTouareg1,7910.4%5,7790.3%50
46KiaSeltos1,7770.4%00.0% –
47MercedesE Class1,6540.4%8,3520.5%40
48ToyotaLand Cruiser1,6520.4%6,9400.4%44
49BMWX71,6310.4%3,0190.2%76
50SuzukiVitara1,5330.4%5,5900.3%53
51BMWX31,5100.4%5,9840.3%48
52BMW5 Series1,4750.4%7,2820.4%42
53SubaruForester1,4500.3%5,6030.3%52
54Mazda61,4130.3%5,2710.3%56
55HyundaiSonata1,3740.3%7,2470.4%43
56MercedesGLE1,3460.3%4,5870.3%61
57HavalH61,3090.3%6,3780.4%47
58MercedesGLS1,1760.3%2,8340.2%79
59LexusNX1,1130.3%5,3800.3%54
60PorscheCayenne1,0980.3%3,6660.2%65
61CheryTiggo 41,0870.3%1,9680.1%90
62ChanganCS351,0640.3%1,3230.1%117
63ToyotaCorolla1,0520.3%4,6840.3%60
64BMW3 Series1,0500.3%4,9990.3%57
65NissanMurano1,0300.2%3,3670.2%70
66MitsubishiASX1,0250.2%4,2860.2%62
67MercedesC Class9990.2%3,6640.2%66
68AudiQ79760.2%2,9890.2%77
69AudiQ59340.2%3,2890.2%72
70BMWX69220.2%3,3980.2%69
71BMWX48940.2%3,5010.2%68
72HyundaiElantra8560.2%4,8540.3%58
73ToyotaFortuner8340.2%4,7760.3%59
74Land RoverRange Rover7540.2%2,7130.2%81
75ToyotaC-HR7310.2%2,3610.1%85
76LexusLX7260.2%3,6570.2%67
77Datsunmi-DO7060.2%2,9730.2%78
78AudiQ87020.2%2,7730.2%80
79GeelyEmgrand X76390.2%1,2110.1%121
80AudiA45440.1%2,4250.1%84
81VWTeramont5290.1%2,5950.1%83
82SuzukiS-Cross5250.1%1,5840.1%101
83MazdaCX-95030.1%1,8090.1%94
84VolvoXC604960.1%3,3650.2%71
85ToyotaHighlander4860.1%1,0350.1%131
86VolvoXC904830.1%2,0730.1%89
87MercedesV Class4770.1%1,7670.1%95
88KiaPicanto4740.1%4,2430.2%63
89Land RoverRange Rover Sport4710.1%1,6990.1%96
90BMWX14690.1%3,0860.2%75
91MercedesCLA4690.1%1,9210.1%91
92AudiA64580.1%1,1170.1%126
93PeugeotTraveller4110.1%1,4640.1%105
94HondaCR-V4030.1%1,6080.1%99
95HyundaiH-1 (Starex)4030.1%2,2070.1%87
96MercedesGLA4010.1%3,1290.2%74
97MitsubishiEclipse Cross3800.1%1,6250.1%97
98MiniHatchback3700.1%1,3670.1%112
99CheryTiggo 73530.1%1,5630.1%102
100MercedesA Class3530.1%1,4320.1%106
101PorscheMacan3490.1%1,6220.1%98
102KiaStinger3410.1%1,4150.1%108
103MercedesG Class3350.1%1,3910.1%110
104MercedesS Class3250.1%2,1620.1%88
105MiniCountryman3200.1%9480.1%134
106DongfengAX73190.1%1,5480.1%103
107AudiQ33170.1%n/an/an/a
108LexusES3140.1%1,8130.1%93
109Land RoverRange Rover Velar3070.1%1,4290.1%107
110AudiA53030.1%1,1540.1%123
111Land RoverRange Rover Evoque2950.1%1,0310.1%132
112HavalH22900.1%1,3450.1%113
113InfinitiQX502860.1%1,3330.1%115
114HavalH92800.1%8520.0%145
115KiaMohave2800.1%8870.1%141
116VWPassat2780.1%1,6080.1%100
117LexusGX2730.1%n/an/an/a
118GenesisG702640.1%1,1200.1%125
119CitroenSpaceTourer2580.1%7940.0%149
120Land RoverDiscovery Sport2560.1%1,3250.1%116
121ChanganCS552540.1%n/an/an/a
122CheryTiggo 3x2520.1%2,2620.1%86
123ToyotaAlphard2500.1%n/an/an/a
124JeepCherokee2480.1%n/an/an/a
125FAWX802380.1%1,0110.1%133
126Mazda32370.1%9310.1%136
127BMW6 Series2350.1%1,0920.1%128
128GeelyEmgrand 72220.1%7800.0%150
129SkodaSuperb2190.1%1,2580.1%119
130CheryTiggo 82140.1%00.0% –
131LifanSolano (620)2140.1%1,3350.1%114
132AudiA32110.1%1,2340.1%120
133Peugeot30082000.0%8830.1%142
134SubaruXV1960.0%1,0440.1%130
135BMWX21910.0%9030.1%138
136GeelyCoolray1880.0%00.0% –

Source: AEB

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