UK First Half 2016: Record volume but Brexit brings cloudy horizon

Ford Mustang UK June 2016. Picture courtesy autocar.co.ukFord Mustang – Ford remains the #1 brand in the UK but drops 3%.

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The First Half 2016 sales results for the UK are brilliant: up 3% to 1.420.636, the highest-ever 6 month-result in the history of automobile in the country. However, as we pointed out in our study UK: Brexit means no sales record in 2016 and production uncertainty, the chances of a second consecutive record year in the UK are near-to-none. Barely a week after the country voted to exit the European Union, the UK market posted its 2nd year-on-year decline in 4 years in June – the first was last November. The 2nd half of the year will be a difficult and uncertain one for UK sales as the market finds a new equilibrium outside the EU, both in terms of production and private consumer behaviours.

Mercedes C Class UK June 2016. Picture courtesy autocar.co.ukMercedes sales are up 18% year-on-year in the UK so far in 2016. 

Meanwhile we are witnessing a fragmentation of the market brand-wise, with the Top 3 best-sellers each losing volume and almost one percentage point of share market year-on-year: Ford is down 3% to 171.192 and 12.1%, Vauxhall down 7% to 132.947 and 9.4% and Volkswagen is the hardest hit at -9% to 109.566 and 7.7%. The podium accounts for 29.2% of the UK market over H1 2016 vs. 31.9% a year ago. Reversely, the three luxury brands coming next in line all display arrogant health: BMW is up 14% to overtake Audi (+4%) in 4th place with 6.4% share while Mercedes is up an even more impressive 18% to 6.2%. Below, Nissan (-6%), Peugeot (-4%), Toyota (+1%) and Hyundai (+3%) all display declining or – at best – identical market shares compared to a year ago. Further down, Honda (+17%), Land Rover (+18%), Renault (+21%), Jeep (+42%), Smart (+63%), Jaguar (+68%), Ssangyong (+74%) and Infiniti (+157%) are among manufacturers frankly outpacing the market.

Vauxhall Mokka UK June 2015. Picture courtesy autocar.co.ukThe Vauxhall Mokka breaks into the YTD Top 10. 

Model-wise, the Ford Fiesta is headed straight towards an 8th consecutive year in pole position despite sales down a harsh 11% to 63.833. Yet that’s a better hold than the Vauxhall Corsa (-15%) and Ford Focus (-14%) rounding up the podium. In fact, the Top 7 best-sellers – in an order that is unchanged compared to H1 2015 – all lose volume year-on-year in a clear illustration of market fragmentation. The VW Golf and Nissan Qashqai, both at -2%, are the least affected at #4 and #5 respectively. The Mini (+4%) is the first model to improve at #8 with 24.293 units sold, while the Vauxhall Mokka breaks into the Top 10 to reach a best-ever #9 (+5%) and the Mercedes C-Class drops 11% but retains its spot among the country’s 10 favourite vehicles.

Hyundai Tucson UK June 2016Splendid landing by the Hyundai Tucson in the UK. 

Just outside the familiar Top 10, the Mercedes A-Class surges 44% to #11, the Kia Sportage is up 78% to #13 and the Ford Kuga up 18% to #17. The Range Rover Evoque gains 6 spots and 18% to #22, the Hyundai Tucson is the most popular new launch, landing at #26 above the Renault Kadjar at #41. The Vauxhall Viva misses out on a Top 50 ranking for a few hundred units, with the Fiat 500X at #59, the Jaguar XE at #60 and the Citroen C4 Cactus at #69.

Previous post: UK June 2016: Brexit triggers 2nd year-on-year drop in 4 years

Full Year 2015 post: UK Full Year 2015: Market up 6% to record 2.633.503 units

One year ago (1): UK 1st Half 2015: Registrations up 7% to highest-ever half year score

One year ago (2): UK 1st half 2015: Now with Top 360 All-models ranking (BSCB exclusive)

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UK June 2016: Brexit triggers 2nd year-on-year drop in four years

Mini UK June 2016. Picture courtesy autocar.co.ukThe Mini Harch is up 13% to 5th place in May in the UK. 

* Now updated with the Top 155 models and Top 40 brands *

New car sales in the UK are down 0.8% in June to 255.766 registrations. Although this is still the 2nd best June score ever and it leads to a record first half at 1.420.636 units, it is also only the 2nd year-on-year monthly drop in four years and the question on everyone’s lips is: did Brexit have to do anything with it? Given the Brexit vote happened on June 23, it means that private sales cannot have been impacted, as these typically reflects orders from months before. Yet the end of June is typically a time where manufacturers load up on “artificial” sales such as short-term rentals, demo sales and self-registrations in order to meet half-year targets. So a 0.8% drop in a record environment can definitely mean carmakers have become bearish when it was time to push. Given the market remains pulled up by fleets (+4.5% in June) while private sales are lagging behind (-4.5%), this is very good news for the remainder of the year in the UK, as we already detailed in the post UK: Brexit means no sales record in 2016 and production uncertainty.

June-new-car-registrations-2000-to-present-chartSource: SMMT

Mike Hawes, SMMT Chief Executive, said, “It is far too soon to determine whether the referendum result has had an impact on the new car market. The first six months saw strong demand at record levels but the market undoubtedly cooled over the second quarter. It’s important government takes every measure to restore business and economic confidence to avoid the market contracting in the coming months.” Brand-wise, Ford (-9%), Vauxhall (-15%) and Volkswagen (-19%) still dominate but all lose significant market share, whereas just below BMW (+9%), Mercedes (+19%) and Audi (+3%) all gain significant ground. Let’s also notice Renault (+38%), Mini (+22%), Honda (+17%), Jaguar (+33%), Jeep (+60%), Smart (+25%) and Infiniti (+447%) all posting very solid year-on-year improvements.

Renault Kadjar UK June 2016. Picture autocar.co.ukRenault posts the largest year-on-year gain of any manufacturer in the Top 25. 

The Top 10 best-selling models show a paltry figure: 8 of them are down vs. June 2015 including the Top 4 most popular nameplates in the country: the Ford Fiesta (-9%), Vauxhall Corsa (-8%), Ford Focus (-25%) and VW Golf (-11%). Only the Mini (+13%) shooting up three spots on May to #5, its best monthly ranking so far in 2016, and the Mercedes C-Class up 4% to remain in the Top 10 at #10 show positive results. Disappointing scores from the locally-produced Nissan Qashqai (-18%) and the Vauxhall Astra, down 12% despite a new generation. The Vauhxall Mokka is back inside the Top 10 despite sales down 13% to 4.356.

Previous post (1): UK May 2016: Discover the Top 135 models (BSCB Exclusive)

Previous post (2): UK: Brexit means no sales record in 2016 and production uncertainty

Previous month: UK May 2016: Brexit uncertainty cools market growth to +2.5%

One year ago: UK June 2015: Mini and Vauxhall Mokka shine in market up 13%

Full June 2016 Top 40 brands and Top 155 models below.

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Russia First Half 2016: Hyundai Solaris takes charge in market down 14%

Hyundai Solaris Russia June 2016. Picture courtesy trendymen.ruCan the Hyundai Solaris maintain its lead till the end of the year? I doubt it.

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New car sales in Russia are trapped in a seemingly never-ending downward spiral, losing another 14% year-on-year over the First Half of 2016. This means the market has lost almost half its volume in two years, going from 1.229.931 over H1 2014 to 672.140 this year… The near future isn’t looking better either, and if local organisation AEB predicts a 10% drop over 2016 it is tainted with an optimism hoped to hold as a self-fullfilling prophecy. Local behemoth Lada has somehow stopped its race to the bottom thanks to the launch of new all-new nameplates (see further down), managing a decline smaller than the market at -12% to 124.353 units and 18.5% share. Kia (-8%) overtakes sister brand Hyundai (-19%) to take the 2nd spot overall with 10.4% share, meaning the Hyundai-Kia combination, at 20% share, is above Lada like last year.

Ford Explorer Russia June 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruFord posts a spectacular 52% sales gain so far in 2016.

Renault manages to improve its share marginally thanks to deliveries down ‘just’ 9% as does Toyota (-6%), Volkswagen (-8%) and Skoda (-4%) but Nissan (-28%) struggles. A handful of marques are able to go against the grain and post year-on-year gains: Chery (+3%) thanks to a facelifted Tiggo, Suzuki (+8%) thanks to the new Vitara, GAZ (+6%) and UAZ (+11%) as well as Lexus (+17%) thanks to the NX and RX but none as spectacularly as Ford, up a fantastic 52% to #11 overall and Lifan revived up 63% to #21 and back to the #1 Chinese spot in Russia, Among smaller brands, Brilliance (+41%) and Jaguar (+73%) also post significant improvements. Two additional Chinese carmakers enter this depressed Russian market over the period: FAW returns after a 2 year-hiatus  with 500 sales and Zotye makes a timid appearance with 74 units sold.

Lexus NX Russia June 2016Thanks to the NX and the new RX, Lexus is up 17% in Russia this year. 

Hyundai Solaris / Lada Granta Half-year sales comparison 2014-2016:

Model H1 2016 H2 2015 H1 2015 H2 2014 H1 2014
Hyundai Solaris 45,930 62,166 53,702 59,070 55,574
Lada Granta 43,967 56,609 63,573 81,335 71,475

For the second semester in a row, the Hyundai Solaris is the best-selling vehicle in Russia thanks to a decline limited to 14% to 45.930 vs. -31% to 43.967 for the Lada Granta and an even better hold for the Kia Rio in third place at -8% to 39.454. Hyundai has sold 108.096 copies of the Solaris in Russia over the past 12 months, way above the 100.576 managed by the Lada Granta, but the Solaris hasn’t been #1 over a calendar year yet. A last minute surge by the Granta in December prevented it from becoming the first foreign-branded vehicle to top Russian charts since World World 2. Can it manage that feat in 2016? The statistical logic would say yes, however I believe it is very unlikely that the powers that be will let a Korean nameplate dominate the Russian ranking in 2016.

Lada Vesta Russia June 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Lada Vesta lands directly at #5 in Russia over H1 2016

A main component explaining the Granta’s weakness is the roaring arrival of the Vesta which, although not competing with the Granta in price but rather the Solaris and Rio, has made more damage internally at Lada than on its direct competitors. The Vesta lands at #5 so far in 2016 with a solid 22.894 sales, peaking at #4 and 5.128 sales in June. New Lada nameplates traditionally take a while hitting cruising levels, so the Vesta is bound to go higher, but a long-term pole position seems far-fetched. The other Lada new launch, the XRAY, has a much more limited success so far: it ranks #23 over H1 2016 with 8.042 sales, peaking at #13 in April but damaging the Lada 4×4 (-34%).

Lada XRAY Russia June 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ru…while the Lada XRAY remains outside the Top 20 for now. 

In other models news, the SUV segment is the only one featuring strong gains so far: 7 of the 9 models in positive in the Top 25 are either SUVs or have an SUV variant within their range: the Renault Duster jumps three spots and 15% to land at an outstanding 4th place, the Toyota RAV4 is up 4 ranks and 13% to #7, the Chevrolet Niva enjoys a second wind at +6% to #9, the Renault Sandero is up 0.2% thanks to the Stepway, the UAZ Patriot is up 13% to a best-ever #17 and the Nissan Qashqai benefits from the new model with sales up 63% to #18. The VW Polo (+4%) is the only exception.

Previous post: Russia June 2016: Hyundai Solaris back on top, Lada Vesta resumes growth

One year ago (1):  Russia First Half 2015: Hyundai and Kia winners in damaged market

One year ago (2): Russia First Half 2016: Now with Top 360 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

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Russia June 2016: Solaris back on top, Lada Vesta resumes growth

Lada Vesta Russia June 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Lada Vesta posts its first month at 5.000+ sales. 

* Now updated with the Top 52 All-brands and Top 275 All-models *

The freefall continues for the Russian new light vehicle market, down another 12.5% in June to 122.633 registrations, pulling the H1 2016 tally down 14% to 672.140 units. I did predict the Russian market would continue to fall fast in 2016, but for Joerg Schreiber, Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee, it comes as a surprise: “Total market volume continued to erode at double-digit pace, faster than anticipated at the beginning of the year. With this in mind, the AEB is updating its 2016 full-year market forecast to 1.44 million units (-10.3%), [implying] a slowdown of the negative trend in H2, to 6-7%.” Still rather optimistic in my view.

Lifan X50 Russia June 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruLifan sales are up 57% in Russia in June.

For once local carmaker and market leader Lada falls faster than the market at -16%, resulting in a lower market share at 18.1% vs. 18.5% year-to-date. Kia (-8%) and Hyundai (-2%) on the other hand continue to gain market share at 10.4% and 9.8% respectively this month. The same goes for Renault, managing a 1% increase to 10.075 units and 8.2% share, but Toyota (-17%) and Nissan (-33%) drop painfully. BMW (+7%), Skoda (+9%), Audi (+15%), UAZ (+21%) and most impressively Ford (+22%) also deliver gains inside the Top 15. Further down, Lifan impresses with a 57% improvement, while Mini (+1%), Subaru (+6%), Brilliance (+75%) and Jaguar (+255%) are among other brands gaining ground year-on-year. We welcome Chinese carmaker Zotye in the Russian sales charts in June even though the brand launched back in March: it ranks #48 for now with a discreet 21 sales.

After two consecutive months of Lada Granta domination, the Hyundai Solaris returns to #1 model in Russia in June, a spot it has now held for 9 of the past 14 months. It is followed very closely this month its platform twin the Kia Rio at 8.629 sales (-4%) vs. 8.676 (-6%) whereas the Granta implodes (-49%) at 7.219. Part of the explanation for the Granta drop is the gearing up of the Vesta: after marking a pause in May, the new Lada resumes its ascent, setting new volume (5.128) and market share record (4.2%) for the nameplate in 4th position. Its SUV counterpart, the XRAY, is however stuck at the bottom of the Top 20: it ranks #18 in June after hitting #13 in April and #16 in May.

Renault Kaptur Russia June 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Renault Kaptur lands at #45.

A healthy amount of models manage significant gains in a declining market: the Renault Duster is up 13% at #5, the Chevrolet Niva up 36% at #9, the Renault Sandero up 15% to #11, Skoda Rapid up 14% to #12 and Skoda Octavia up 4% to #13. Further down, it’s once again the SUV segment that manages to stay afloat: the UAZ Patriot (+21%), Kia Sportage (+13%) and Nissan Qashqai (+44%) all post strong gains with the Hyundai Tucson improving its best ranking to #21 and the Nissan Terrano lodging a 2nd straight month inside the Top 25 thanks to deliveries up 6%. Further down, let’s salute the great performance of the Mercedes GLS up a further 6 spots on May to #41, the thunderous arrival of the Renault Kaptur (in fact a Duster with a Captur snout) directly at #45 with 554 sales, and of the Jaguar F-Pace instantly accounting for 70% of the brand’s sales in Russia.

Previous post: Russia May 2016: Discover the Top 280 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

Previous month: Russia May 2016: Skoda and Ford escape overall gloom

One year ago: Russia June 2015: Lada Granta reclaims #1 spot at record 10% share

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Mexico First Half 2016: Kia stuns in fast and furious market

Kia Sportage Mexico June 2016. Picture courtesy autocosmos.com.mxKia has landed in Mexico, and boy it made a splash. 

* See the Top 40 All-brands and Top 260 All-models by clicking on the title *

The Mexican new light vehicle market is going from strength to strength in 2016, celebrating 18 consecutive record months in June and a total 721.898 sales after 6 months, up 18% on the same period in 2015 and, obvioulsy, a new record. The Big Three all evolve around the market with Nissan up 13% to 25.1% share, Chevrolet up 16% to 17.8% and Volkswagen up 18% to 13.6%. Toyota soars 30%, Honda is up 26%, Hyundai up 52%, Renault up 33% and Ram up 26% but the real star of the year is Kia. The Korean manufacturer, launched in Mexico in July 2015, has done an even more impressive job at imposing itself in the market as its sister brand Hyundai which launched in May 2014. Kia ranks 8th halfway through 2016 with 3.3% share and 7th in June at 3.9%, just below Honda and above such established marques as Mazda, Dodge, Renault and Mitsubishi. An outstanding achievement indeed.

Chevrolet Sonic Mexico June 2016. Picture courtesy autocosmos.com.mxChevrolet Sonic sales have doubled year-on-year. 

#3 a year ago and #2 over the Full Year 2015, the Nissan Versa takes control of the Mexican models ranking over the first half of 2016 thanks to deliveries up 44% to 39.650, but just as it establishes itself as the new king, the Chevrolet Spark, bolstered by a new generation, challenges the newfound lead and ranks #1 in June. For now it ranks #2 with sales up 49% to 32.866. The Chevrolet Aveo is knocked out of its pole position and falls to #3, ahead of the Nissan Pickup (+9%), VW Vento (+4%) and VW Jetta (+38%). The Chevrolet Sonic doubles its sales year-on-year to make a thunderous arrival in the Top 10 at #9, the VW Gol is up 54% and 6 spots to #11 while the Kia Sportage (#18) and Ford Figo (#19) are the best-selling newcomers.

Previous post: Mexico June 2016: Chevrolet Spark takes lead in market up 23%

One year ago: Mexico First Half 2015: Nissan surfs on record wave, Hyundai in Top 10

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Mexico June 2016: Chevrolet Spark takes lead in market up 23%

Chevrolet Spark Mexico June 2016. Picture courtesy autocosmos.comChevrolet Spark

* See the Top 40 All-brands and Top 225 All-models by clicking on the title *

If you thought the Mexican new light vehicle market had exhausted its growth potential after 17 consecutive record months, think again: June is up another outstanding 23% year-on-year, meaning a 18th record month and 14th consecutive month above 100.000 units. At this rate, we are looking at a 2016 full year tally above 1.6 million sales, a 20% surge on the record 2015 figure of 1.351.764. Nissan falls just short of matching the market with a 19% gain to 33.484 and 24.9% share, ahead of Chevrolet at 20.9% (+36%) and Volkswagen at 12.8% (+25%). Toyota (+34%), Honda (+28%), Renault (+48%) and BMW (+45%) do even better than the market while Kia beats its monthly volume record once again at 5.216, and sells its very first locally-produced units: 652 Forte manufactured in the shiny-new Nuevo Leon factory.

 

Kia Forte Mexico June 2016. Picture courtesy autocosmos.comKia Forte made in Mexico

Boosted by its new generation, the Chevrolet Spark becomes the best-selling nameplate in Mexico for the very first time with deliveries up 221% on the previous model a year ago to 8.721. This ends a streak of five consecutive months of Nissan Versa reign, it is now knocked down to #2 despite sales up a fantastic 67% year-on-year to 7.241. The Chevrolet Aveo, leader in 2015, is up just 1% at #3. The Nissan Pickup (+34%), Chevrolet Sonic (+52%), Nissan Sentra (+41%) and VW Gol (+74%) also shine near the top. Further down, the Ford Figo ((#14) and Kia Sportage (#17) remains the two most popular recent launches, ahead of the Kia Rio (#25), Chevrolet Equinox (#28) and Kia Forte (#34) now the first Korean-Mexican vehicle on sale here.

Previous month: Mexico May 2016: Chevrolet teases Nissan in 17th straight record month

One year ago (Top 10): Mexico June 2015: Sixth consecutive monthly all-time record

One year ago (full data): Mexico June 2015: Now with Top 225 models (BSCB exclusive)

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China 1st Half 2016: Tax cut, SUV wave spur 8% gain to record 12.8m

Baojun 560 China September 2015. Picture courtesy shwuling.comBaojun sold 320.000 units of the 560 in the past 12 months. 

* See the Top 75 All China-made brands, Top 465 models and Top 70 LCVs by clicking on the title *

Now updated with LCV data courtesy of Chinese consultancy outlet Cedars.

Faced with a declining car market, last October Chinese government cut in half the tax on cars with small engines (1.6L or less). The Chinese market never looked back since, culminating in a 18% surge in June. Over the first half of 2016, sales of light vehicles are up 9.2% to 11.042.300 units. Total vehicle sales including trucks and buses gain 8.1% to a record-breaking 12.8 million units, according to the Chinese Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM). By comparison, the U.S. light vehicle market, the 2nd largest in the world, is up 1.5% to 8.644.920 deliveries.

Buick Envision China June 2016The Envision is a huge success for Buick in China. 

A very robust 2nd half could mean the government will let the tax cut expire on December 31 as planned. If that’s the case, we will witness a last-minute rush to buy small cars towards the end of the year and a disproportionately low start of 2017 – in that scenario IHS predicts Chinese growth will slow to 1.4% in 2017. For this reason, the CAAM said it is in favour of a permanent tax cit that could be viewed as a promotion of fuel-efficient cars. I am banking on the government extending the tax cut to avoid sending another wave of disruption into the market. For now, halfway through 2016 SUV sales remain the clear engine of Chinese growth with deliveries up a whopping 42% year-on-year to 3.850.000 units, while MPV get a second wind at +19% to 1.200.100 sales and sedans continue to skid at -4% to 5.565.700.

H1 2016 Ch. MS /15 H1 2015 Ch. MS /14 H1 2014 Ch. MS
Total Market 11,042,300 / 9% 10,121,300 / 5% 9,638,400 /
Ch. brands 4,735,000 42.9% 13% 4,184,600 41.3% 15% 3,651,500 37.9%
Ch. SUV 2,171,000 56.4% 53% 1,417,700 53.3% 93% 735,300 40.4%
Ch. Sedans 1,109,400 19.9% -11% 1,243,400 21.5% -11% 1,390,800 22.6%
Ch. MPV 1,087,600 90.6% 21% 895,200 88.1% 19% 750,400 85.1%

Ch. = Chinese, Ch. MS = Chinese market share

Chinese manufacturers continue to regain the terrain they had lost in the home market in the past decade thanks to extremely strong SUV sales. Over the first 6 months of 2016, they hold a 42.9% market share of Chinese light vehicle sales, compared to 41.3% a year ago and 37.9% in 2014. Chinese SUVs gain a stunning 53% to 2.171.000 units and 56.4% share vs. 53.3% in 2015 and 40.4% in 2014. Chinese MPV also have a smile on their bonnet with deliveries up 21% leading to a 90.6% share vs. 88.1% in 2015 and 85.1% in 2014. Only Chinese sedans lag behind with volumes down 11% to 19.9% share vs. 21.5% in 2015 and 22.6% in 2014.

Buick Excelle GT VW Lavida China June 2016. Picture courtesy autohome.com.cnThe Buick Excelle GT and VW Lavida have helped GM and VAG tremendously in China this year. 

Overtaken by General Motors over the Full Year 2015, the Volkswagen Group reclaims the lead of the Chinese sales races halfway through 2016 thanks to deliveries up 6% to 1.91 million. The Volkswagen brand is up 5% to 1.44m, Audi up 6% to 290.126, Skoda up 11% to 152.000 and Porsche up 4% to 30.440. GM for its part is up 5% to 1.81m units. Buick is up 27% to become the #2 brand in the country below VW at 569.000 sales, Baojun surges 81%, Wuling is stable but Chevrolet is down 31%. Hyundai-Kia is in difficulty at -0.6% to fall just under 810.000 sales, Nissan Motor is up 4% to 609.900, Toyota Motor up 16% to 592.100, Ford Motor up 6% to 577.100 with Lincoln sales tripling to 12.450 (more than the 11.630 it sold over the Full Year 2015) and Honda up 18% to 542.500 thanks to the roaring success of the XR-V and Vezel twin crossovers. In the luxury aisle, below Audi, Mercedes soars 33% to 220.000 units, citing up on BMW up 7% to 247.600. Note the above figures include imports – which is not the case in the sales tables below the jump.

Haval H6 Coupe China June 2016The Haval H6 remains the best-selling SUV in China – Coupe variant pictured. 

Looking at homegrown brands – figures don’t include commercial vehicles, Changan is up 8% but drops one spot to #3 at 563.900 units, Haval gains a solid 22% to break into the Top 10 at #9 and 378.700 units, Beijing Auto is up 51% to #11, Dongfeng up 15% to #12, Geely up 10% to #15 and JAC up 17% #18. Below, the brands that gain spectacular ground all do so thanks to new SUV offerings: GAC Trumpchi is up 170%, Zotye up 49%, Brilliance up 46%, Roewe up 74%, Soueast up 81%, Leopaard up 433% and Landwind up 236%.

Wuling Hongguang S1 China June 2016Still the one: the Wuling Hongguang is the #1 vehicle in China but drops 6%

Model-wise, the Wuling Hongguang remains the best-selling vehicle in the country despite sales down 6% to 294.300, but is now under intense pressure from the VW Lavida, up a fantastic 23% to 287.400. The Haval H6 does even better, lifted by the success of the Coupe variant up 40% to 240.300. Just below, a string of high-performing sedans contradict the overall trend: the VW Jetta (+16%), Sagitar (+27%), Buick Excelle GT (+54%) and Toyota Corolla (+35%) all frankly outpace the market. Just over one year old, the GAC Trumpchi GS4 lands inside the Top 10 thanks to 150.800 deliveries. The Buick Envision (#14), Dongfeng Fengguang 330/370 (+30%), Honda CR-V (+38%), XR-V (+61%) and Vezel (+44%) and Toyota Levin (+32%) also shine inside the Top 50.

GAC Trumpchi GS4 China June 2016. Picture courtesy rednet.cnThe GAC Trumpchi GS4 is now among the 10 most popular vehicles in China. 

But the most impressive performance is without a doubt delivered by the Baojun 560, landing directly in 4th position overall with nearly 175.000 sales so far in 2016. Launched in July 2015, Baojun has sold an earth-shattering 320.000 copies of the 560 in just 12 months, beating the brand’s previous launch (the 730) to snap the title of most successful new nameplate launch in the history of automobile in China. The Baojun 560 is the fastest nameplate to reach its first 300.000 units: it did so in just 11 months (301.534) vs. 13 for the Baojun 730. It leads a strong contingent of 72 new China-made nameplates having made their first appearance in the Chinese charts over the past 12 months. So far in 2016, the Changan Oushang, Hyundai Elantra Lingdong, Jeep Cherokee, BAIC Huansu H3, Zotye Damai X5, BAIC Senova X25, Nissan Lannia, Soueast DX7 and Roewe 360 have been the most successful. It’s also worth mentioning the Buick Verano, new Hyundai Tucson and Brilliance V3, each just over one year old but already inside the Top 50.

Dongfeng Rich China June 2016Dongfeng Rich – Chinese pickups are back in the game. 

Stepping into the Light Commercial Vehicle market, a few momentous shifts are at play. In an overall market contracting 12% to 1.695.351 units, minivans are fast falling into oblivion at -36% to 304.019, with part of this lost volume recuperated by mini trucks (the pickup equivalent of these minivans), up 14% to 246.315. The big news however is the return to grace of pickups up 4% to 169.510 (and surging 36% in June), helped by a change in legislation allowing them in the large cities of four provinces for the first time in 12 years (click here for more detail). The Fotron Light Truck is in the lead despite sales down 6% to 126.856 ahead of the Wuling Mini Truck (+6%) and Hongguang V (-17%). The Wuling Sunshine (-33%), Rongguang (-35%) and Chana Star Minibus (-40%) implode, and the Great Wall Wingle 5 leads the pickup charge above the JMC Baodian, ZX Auto Grand Tiger and Dongfeng Rich.

Previous post (1): China June 2016: Market up 18%, next wave of Chinese SUVs arrives

Previous post (2): China LCV June 2016: Pickup sales surge 36%

One year ago: China 1st Half 2015: Domestic carmakers regain ground in shy market

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China LCV June 2016: Pickup sales surge 36%

Great Wall Wingle 5 China June 2016. Picture courtesy ignitionlive.co.zaThe Great Wall Wingle 5 is the best-selling pickup in China. 

* See the Top 55 best-selling models by clicking on the title *

Thanks to a partnership with Chinese consultancy outlet Cedars, we can share with you today detailed sales data for Light Commercial Vehicles in China with complete Minivan, Pickup and Mini Truck data by model as well as selected light truck/bus data provided by LMC Automotive. Chinese LCV sales continue to struggle at -17% in June to 252.603 and -12% year-to-date to 1.695.351. However the detail by segment unveils a striking novelty: minivan are stuck in a race to the bottom at -48% to 33.825 sales, mini trucks for once also crumble at -21% to 35.104 – yet outselling minivans for the 2nd consecutive month – but the heroes of the month are pickups. Bolstered by a change in legislation allowing them in the large cities of four provinces for the first time in 12 years (click here for more detail on this), pickup sales in China returned to positive for the first time in over two years in April and posted their first double-digit gains in 3 years in May. In June, their revival accelerates further to a whopping 36% to 28.581 units.

JMC Baodian Plus China June 2016JMC Baodian

They are led as usual by the Great Wall Wingle 5, stable at 5.015 sales, followed by the JMC Baodian (+28%), Dongfeng Rich (+47%), ZX Auto Grand Tiger (+6%), JMC Yuhu (+239%) and Great Wall Wingle 6 (+57%). In fact, only four of the 20 pickups ranked in this month’s charts lose ground year-on-year. In May 2015, we had detailed the Chinese pickup market as the low-hanging fruit in our analysis Where is the Chinese market headed? and it seems the Chinese government reads BSCB… In other LCV news, the Foton Light Truck retains the lead with sales up 4% to 19.175, the Wuling Hongguang V is up to #2 but down 1% and the Wuling Mini Truck uncharacteristically falls 42% to #3.

Previous month: China LCV May 2016: Minitrucks outsell minivans, pickups up 11%

One year ago: China LCV June 2015: Wuling Mini Truck takes off at +66%

Full June 2016 Top 55 models Ranking Table below.

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Canada First Half 2016: Pickups and SUVs boost market to record high

Nissan Murano Canada June 2016. Picture courtesy caranddriver.com Nissan Murano sales are up 71% so far in 2016 in Canada.

* See the Top 15 groups, Top 40 brands and Top 280 models by clicking on the title *

There is no stopping the Canadian light vehicle market in 2016: sales are up a further 6% on a record 2015 result to a best-ever 990.727 units halfway through 2016. FCA Fiat Chrysler Automobiles remains the most popular group but loses market share at 15.4% vs. 15.9% a year ago. Just below, Ford Motor is up to 15.1% from 14.4% but General Motors drops to 13.1% from 13.6%. Toyota Motor (11.4%) and Hyundai-Kia (11%) round up the Top 5. Brand-wise, Ford improves to 14.7% thanks to sales up 12%, Toyota follows the market at +2% and 10% share, Honda (+12%) passes Chevrolet (+1%) to rank third, ahead of Hyundai (+8%), Nissan (+10%), Ram (+2%) and Jeep (+20%). Audi (+16%), Mitsubishi (+16%), Buick (+18%), Lincoln (+21%), Volvo (+35%), Land Rover (+40%) and Scion (+78%) impress.

Toyota Tacoma Canada June 2016. Picture courtesy caranddriver.com.jpgThe Toyota Tacoma is up 45%. 

In the models ranking, the Ford F-Series is headed straight towards an 8th consecutive year of reign with deliveries fast outpacing the market, soaring 28% to 72.233, 23.000 units above the #2, the Ram Pickup up 4%. The Honda Civic for its part looks likely to post a 19th year in a row as the best-selling passenger car in Canada with sales up 12% to 33.193. The Dodge Grand Caravan (+28%), Hyundai Elantra (+14%), Toyota RAV4 (+20%) also rise faster than the market within the Top 10. Further down, SUVs and pickups deliver the largest gains, such as the Jeep Cherokee (+25%), Hyundai Tucson (+75%), Ford Edge (+28%), Jeep Grand Cherokee (+53%), Nissan Murano (+71%), Toyota Tacoma (+45%) and Toyota Highlander (+26%).

Previous post: Canada June 2016: Ford F-Series helps lift market to best June score ever

One year ago: Canada 1st Half 2015: Pickup trucks lift market up to record level

Full H1 2016 Top 15 groups, Top 40 brands and Top 280 models vs. Full H1 2015 figures below.

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Canada June 2016: Ford F-Series helps lift market to best June score ever

Ford F-150 Raptor Canada June 2016Ford F-150 Raptor 

* See the Top 15 groups, Top 35 brands and Top 257 models by clicking on the title *

After plunging into negative territory in May, Canadian new light vehicle sales rebound in June to gain 7% year-on-year to 191.316 units, the highest June tally ever recorded in Canada. The year-to-date total is up 6% at 990.727. This month Ford Motor is the most popular group, following the market at +7% to 15% share, with FCA (14.5%) and General Motors (13.6%) in tow. Hyundai-Kia surges 31% to 11.9% share, overtaking Toyota Motor (11.5%), and Nissan Motor is up 13% to 7.4%. The Top 6 best-selling brands remain unchanged vs. May with Ford in the lead at 14.6% share ahead of Toyota (10.3%), Honda (8%), Hyundai up 41% (7.9%), Chevrolet (7.4%) and Nissan (6.9%). Dodge is up 25% to #7, Kia up 14%, Buick up 28%, Lincoln up 37% and Jaguar up 191%. Model-wise, the Ford F-Series is more than ever in the driving seat thanks to sales up 40% to 13.269 vs. 8.692 for its immediate follower the Ram Pickup, stable year-on-year. The Honda Civic (+3%), Dodge Grand Caravan (+43%) and Toyota RAV4 (+34%) follow. Excellent performances of the Hyundai Elantra (+45%), Tucson (+314%), Ford Fusion (+70%) and Nissan Sentra (+45%). This month we welcome the Jaguar XE at #216.

Previous month: Canada May 2016: FCA scores strongest month ever, market down 2%

One year ago: Canada June 2015: Ram Pickup only 737 units below Ford F-Series

Full June 2016 Top 15 groups, Top 35 brands and Top 257 models below.

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