Russia January 2016: Market down 29%, Lada Vesta in Top 10

Lada Vesta Russia January 2016The Lada Vesta surges to 9th place overall in Russia this month. 

* See the Top 25 best-selling models and Top 55 All-brands by clicking on the title *

The new car market crisis is deepening in Russia, with January down a further 29% year-on-year to just 81.849 registrations, the first time in six years Russian new car sales fall below 100.000 monthly units. In fact, it is only the third time in the past decade that the market sinks to five-digit figures, along with January 2010 (74.086 units) and February 2010 (91.922). Thanks to the gearing up of the Vesta adding 1.643 units to the mix (#9), local manufacturer Lada fares better than its home market, limiting its fall to -11% at 15.577 deliveries and 19% share: way above its 2015 level of 16.8%. Kia gains share at 11.1% thanks to sales down “just” 20% as does Toyota at 7.4% (-15%) but Hyundai (-37%), Renault (-43%) and Nissan (-51%) implode.

Porsche Macan Russia January 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruCrisis? What crisis? Porsche sales are up 60% in Russia this month.

It’s not all bad news though, especially for luxury brands as the weak ruble has made top-end models less expensive in Russia and even more attractive to wealthy Russians: Porsche is up 60%, Lexus up 57% and Mercedes 1%. The Chinese are also back in force with Lifan up a spectacular 63% to 1.5% share vs. 0.9% in 2015, Geely up 23% and Chery up 1%. Notice also GAZ up 1% while Ford and Suzuki both see their volumes surge by a stunning 25% year-on-year. At the other end of the scale, Chevrolet is down 61%, Jeep down 63%, Datsun down 66%, Ssangyong down 79% and Volvo down 94%. Great Wall and JAC did not sell a single car in Russia this month and if Opel also didn’t, that’s because the brand was discontinued in the country.

Toyota Land Cruiser 200 Russia January 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Toyota Land Cruiser 200 is up 265% on January 2015.

Small volumes send the models ranking into a spin. The podium remains unchanged on FY 2015, but for once the Lada Granta (-5%) is a lot stronger than the Hyundai Solaris (-32%) and Kia Rio (-31%) despite the focus on the Vesta arrival. The Toyota RAV4 gains a sparkly 38% to land in 4th place, the nameplate’s best-ever Russian ranking. Same story for the Kia Sportage up 56% to a record 6th position, both models outselling the segment’s traditional leader the Renault Duster, still gaining share thanks to sales down 13% only. The Lada Largus is up 9% to #8, the Skoda Rapid (-20%) leaps to #11, the Kia Cee’d (-8%) is up to #15 and the Toyota Land Cruiser 200 takes full advantage of its facelift with sales up 4-fold year-on-year to #21 and 1.014 deliveries.

Previous post: Russia Full Year 2015: Hyundai Solaris teases Lada Granta in market down 36%

One year ago: Russia January 2015: Hyundai Solaris hits #1 in market down 24%

Full January 2016 Top 25 models and Top 55 All-brands below.

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Russia Full Year 2015: Solaris teases Granta in market down 36%

Hyundai Solaris Russia 2015. Picture courtesy YoutubeThe Hyundai Solaris ends the year 4.314 sales below the Lada Granta.

* Now updated with the Top 60 All-brands and Top 430 All-models *

* Check out 45 years worth of Russian Archived data here *

A lot of elements combined to make 2015 one of the worst years for Russian car sales in the past two decades. The Russian economy is going through its worst recession since 1998, partly triggered by the fall in commodities prices such as petrol and Ukraine crisis-related economic sanctions imposed to the country. The ruble crumbled down 23% against the dollar in the past year, inflation rose up to double-digits, household purchasing power imploded. The Russian new car market has only seen two months of growth in the past 35 and posted its steepest year-on-year declines in the last two months of the year at -43% in November and -47% in December. As a result, annual sales stumble down 36% to just 1.601.216 units to return to its recession-plagued 2009 level (1.465.762).

Lada Vesta Russia 2015Lada is counting on the Vesta (above) and XRAY to stay afloat at home in 2016.

Lada manages to salvage market share by falling slightly slower than the market at -31% to 269.096 units, but the winners of 2015 are Korean: Kia is down just 16% to 163.500 and 10.2% share vs. 7.9% in 2014 and Hyundai does even better at -10% to 161.201 and 10% vs. 7.2% a year ago. Below, Renault (-38%), Toyota (-39%), Nissan (-44%) and Volkswagen (-39%) all lose market share. General Motors has stopped sales of mainstream Chevrolet models (-60%) and retired Opel (-74%) from the market altogether.

Ssangyong Actyon Russia 2015. Picture courtesy auto-motor-und-sport.deSsangYong sales are down a devastating 79% in Russia in 2015.

A significant number of carmakers see their Russian sales all but disappear this year: Subaru (-61%), Suzuki (-67%), Citroen (-72%), Chery (-73%), Peugeot (-73%), Jeep (-75%), Honda (-78%) and SsangYong (-79%) lose over half of their volume in the space of one single year. Among the Chinese, Lifan (-36%) and Geely (-38%) follow the market to become the only two significant players still in activity and the only ones remaining in the Top 30.

Porsche Macan Russia 2015. Picture courtesy of autobild.dePorsche sales ignored the recession: up 12% year-on-year.

All is not doom and gloom in the brands ranking as some manufacturers benefit from a sales transfer towards SUV and luxury fares: UAZ is down just 2% to #11 and gains one percentage point share to 3%, with Mercedes (-15%), BMW (-20%) and Audi (-25%) also outpacing the market. Lexus for its part actually improves at +6% thanks to the NX, as does Porsche (+12%) thanks to the Macan. Datsun ranks at a very satisfying 15th place for its first full year in market but fell 54% in December. Dongfeng (#40) is the only new carmaker launching in 2015.

Kia Rio Russia 2015The Kia Rio sells just under 100.000 units in a depressed Russian market.

In 45 years of Russian car sales records, never before had a foreign nameplate been so close to the annual best-seller title. The Lada Granta sees its advantage over Hyundai Solaris thaw from 38.166 sales in 2014 to a meagre 4.314 this year. In November 2014, the Kia Rio sent shockwaves through the Russian market and became the first foreign model to top monthly Russian sales since the first Lada launched in 1970. The past 12 months have seen this revolution unfold: the Hyundai Solaris took charge of the Russian charts no less than 7 times in 2015, including 5 straight months from July to November. If the Granta “miraculously” reclaims the lead in December to secure its third annual win with 120.182 sales, the crowning of either the Solaris (115.868) or the Rio (97.097) in 2016 seems inevitable.

UAZ Patriot Russia 2015Excellent result for the UAZ Patriot at #23.

For the first time since the seventies, Lada only places one nameplate among the Top 7 best-sellers: the Largus (-40%) and Kalina (-45%) are relegated to #8 and #9 respectively while the venerable 4×4 (aka Niva) is up 3 spots to #10 thanks to sales down just 18%. Even Renault does better with the Duster (#6) and Logan (#7). The GAZ Gazelle (-28%) shoots up 3 spots to #4, the VW Polo (-23%) is up four to #4, the Rapid becomes Skoda’s best-seller thanks to 24.547 sales for its first full year in market, the Datsun on-DO improves to #18, the venerable UAZ Bukhanka is up 14 ranks to #19 thanks to incredibly stable sales at 21.408 and the UAZ Patriot is down just 5% to land at a best-ever #23.

Datsun mi-DO Russia 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Datsun mi-DO is the best-selling all-new nameplate in Russia in 2015. Picture zr.ru

Further down, let’s single out the Lexus NX shooting up 211 spots to a shining 36th place (10.328 sales), the Lifan X60 remaining the best-selling Chinese nameplate in Russia and the only one in the Top 60 at #37 and despite sales down 51%, the Datsun mi-DO snapping the title of most popular all-new nameplate at #38 (8.165 sales) above the Ford Fiesta (#57), Lifan X50 (#101), Lada Vesta (#104), Mercedes GLE (#105) and Mercedes GLC (#125). Flying in the face of the current depressed economic context, the BMW X5 is up 50% to #53, the Mercedes C-Class is up 2% to #60, the Mercedes S-Class also up 2% to #69, the Mercedes GLA up 10% to #80 and the Audi Q7 up 52% to #87.

Previous post: Russia November 2015: Now with Top 306 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

Previous month: Russia November 2015: Hyundai Solaris #1, Lada Vesta lands in Top 20

Previous year: Russia Full Year 2014: Lada Granta survives foreign push

Two years ago: Russia Full Year 2013: Lada Granta celebrates first year at #1

Full Year 2015 Top 60 All-brands and Top 430 All-models vs. Full 2014 figures below.

Full December 2015 Top 54 All-brands and Top 309 All-models below.

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Russia November 2015: Now with Top 306 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

Hyundai Tucson Russia November 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruSurefire Russian blockbuster? First month of sales for the Hyundai Tucson. Picture zr.ru

* See the Top 306 All-models Ranking Table by clicking on the title *

As is the tradition on BSCB, after studying the All-brands ranking and Top 25 models ex-LCVs, we now go into the November Russian models ranking in its entirety. The usual light commercial best-sellers appear in the ranking: the The GAZ Gazelle is down one spot to #6 but the valiant UAZ Bukhanka is up 3 to #14, kicking the Lada Vesta (#21) and Toyota Land Cruiser 200 (#22) out of the Top 20 and the Kia Cee’d (#26) and VW Jetta (#27) out of the Top 25. Solid performers of the past few months confirm their dynamic scores: the Ford Fiesta ranks at #35, the Lifan X60 is #36 and the Lifan X50 #42.

Volvo XC90 Russia November 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruVolvo is banking on getting a slice of the healthy Russian luxury SUV segment with the XC90.

The Datsun mi-DO manages a spectacular about turn, coming back from the grave at #84 in October to #40 this month. Luxury SUV are all the rage in these depressed times: the Mercedes GLE is stable at an excellent #39, the Mercedes GLC is up 16 to #43, the Lexus LX is up a fantastic 134 spots on October to #58 and the Volvo XC90 is up 24 to #67. Further down, we welcome the Hyundai Tucson at #109 with 159 sales. November data confirms the Lada XRAY crossover hasn’t hit the charts yet.

Previous post: Russia November 2015: Hyundai Solaris #1, Lada Vesta lands in Top 20

Previous month: Russia October 2014: Now with Top 310 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

One year ago: Russia November 2014: Shock: Kia Rio first foreign model #1

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Russia November 2015: Hyundai Solaris #1, Lada Vesta lands in Top 20

Lada Vesta Russia November 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Lada Vesta has made its entrance in the Russian sales charts.

* See the Top 50 All-brands and Top 25 models by clicking on the title *

Persisting recession in Russia, partly triggered by the Ukraine-related economic sanctions imposed to the country, has seen the ruble crumble down 23% against the dollar in the past year, inflation rise up and household purchasing power implode. The Russian new car market has only seen two months of growth in the past 34 and posts in November its 11th consecutive year-on-year decline – its steepest so far in 2015 – at -43% to just 131.572 units vs. 229.432 a year ago. The combined effect of an unusually strong result in November last year when consumers rushed to buy a car and get ahead of widely – and rightly – anticipated new year price increases has made the decline even sharper this month. Lada (-29%) and Kia (-32%) gain marginal share by losing less ground than the market but Hyundai is the real winner with sales down just 7% and a market share going from 7% a year ago to 11.5% this month.

Cadillac Escalade Russia November 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruCadillac is one of only 3 carmakers to gain ground year-on-year in the Top 40.

Below, Renault (-46%), Toyota (-53%) and Nissan (-53%) lose share while Volkswagen (-32%) and Skoda (-39%) gain some, showing no particular impact from its emission scandal. Lifan (+3%), Brilliance (+4%) and Cadillac (+21%) are the only Top 40 carmakers to post positive results in November, while Daewoo (-13%), Audi, UAZ (-18%), Lexus (-23%), Mercedes and Porsche (-24%) post relatively limited declines. On the other hand Mitsubishi (-74%), Citroen (-78%), Peugeot (-79%), Chery (-80%), Suzuki (-81%), Jeep (-87%), Honda (-90%), Ssangyong (-91%) and Great Wall (-94%) all but disappear. Chevrolet (-71%) and Opel (-92%) will actually withdraw from the Russian market from 2016 onwards so their respective declines are logical. But there are bigger events unfolding in the models ranking…

Ssangyong Actyon Russia November 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruSsangyong is down 91%. 

One year ago, the Kia Rio send shockwaves through the Russian market: for the first time since the first Lada model hit dealerships of the then-USSR in 1970, a foreign model managed to top the monthly sales ranking in Russia: the Rio historically outsold the Lada Granta with 10.834 sales vs. 10.520. In the space of just one year, a foreign model dominating Russian car sales has become all too common. If the Kia Rio may not have managed to repeat its win, the Hyundai Solaris took charge no less than 7 times in the past 11 months. In November, the Solaris lodges a 5th consecutive month in pole position, even gaining 13% year-on-year to almost double its market share from 4.4% a year ago to a record 8.7% this month, and also delivering an all-time high monthly volume of 11.462.

Hyundai Solaris Russia November 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruFifth consecutive month at #1 for the Hyundai Solaris in Russia. 

The advantage the Solaris has over the Granta in November (2.462 sales) is greater than the gap that separates it from the year-to-date pole position (2.144) with the Solaris adding up to 106.509 units after 11 months vs. 108.653 for the Granta. The past five months are clearly to the advantage of the Solaris with a monthly average of 10.561 sales vs. 9.016 for the Granta, yet it would need to beat that average to be able to finish the year #1. Mathematically and theoretically, the Solaris could indeed edge past the Granta in-extremis during the last few days of the year and post a historical annual foreign win in Russia, something that has never happened since records began 45 years ago. It remains to be seen however whether Lada will let that happen, may it cost a few anticipated registrations to secure the title to Russian ground.

Lada Vesta Production Lada Vesta Vladimir PutinLada Vesta production started last September, Vladimir Putin tried it in October.

One element going against the Granta is Lada now focussing its energy on its “renaissance” models: the Vesta compact sedan and the XRAY crossover. A brand new model is a rare occurrence for Lada: the last one was the Granta almost four years ago in January 2012 – the Largus, launched in July 2012, is in fact a rebadged Dacia Logan MPV – so two at once is a momentous even for the Russian carmaker. The Vesta, unveiled as a concept in August 2014, is the first Lada to be launched only 12 months after concept. Production kick-started as announced on September 25 in Izhevsk, 1.200 km east of Moscow, with 60% of components produced in another plant (Togliatti).

Lada Vesta back Russia November 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruLada Vesta

Sales of the Vesta officially started on November 25 but pre-sales to dealerships allowed the nameplate to make its grand entrance within the Russian Top 20 this month at #19 with 1.748 units. The Vesta starts at 514k Rubles (US$ 7.400) for the Classic trim, but will initially only be available in Comfort (570k Rub – $8.200) and Luxe (608k – $8.800) in 60 dealerships in 25 cities across the country for now. This makes the Vesta the most expensive Lada on sale, with the Priora starting at 420k Rub, the 4×4 at 395k Rub and the Granta at 312k Rub. See more detail on Lada pricing here. It also positions the Vesta full frontal agains the Solaris and Rio with larger dimensions. The Lada XRAY crossover, based on the Renault Sandero, will also enter the sales charts imminently.

Toyota Land Cruiser 200 Russia November 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruFirst ever Russian Top 20 ranking for the Toyota Land Cruiser 200 in Russia.

In other models news, the VW Polo is up a brilliant 15% in 4th place, the Lada Priora shoots back up 9 spots on last month to #9 despite sales down 33% year-on-year, the Skoda Rapid is up five ranks to break its Russian ranking record at #11 (previous best: #13 last April), the Kia Sportage is up 7 to #13, the Toyota Land Cruiser 200 makes a second ever appearance inside Russia’s Top 25 after landing at #21 in March, reaching a best-ever #20 thanks to stable sales at 1.744 units and the VW Jetta posts its first Top 25 ranking of the year at #25.

Previous post: Russia October 2014: Now with Top 310 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

Previous month: Russia October 2015: Hyundai Solaris holds onto lead, market down 39%

One year ago: Russia November 2014: Shock: Kia Rio first foreign model #1

Full November 2015 Top 50 All-brands and Top 25 models below.

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Russia October 2015: Now with Top 310 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

Mercedes GLE Russia October 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruWhat crisis? The Mercedes GLE is already among the 40 most popular nameplates in Russia.

* See the Top 310 All-models by clicking on the title *

As is now the tradition on BSCB we can share with you a complete models ranking for Russia including light commercials. The GAZ Gazelle (#5) and valiant UAZ Bukhanka (#17) are now included in the Top 25 while the Toyota Prado (#26) and Ford Focus (#27) are dropped. The Ford Fiesta continues its ascent, up another two ranks to #31, the Lifan X50 (#35) distances itself from the Geely Emgrand 7 (#41) for the title of best-selling Chinese nameplate in Russia but the smaller Lifan X50 (pictured below) is catching up: from #110 in September to #45, edging past the Geely Emgrand X7.

Lifan X50 Russia October 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruLifan X50. Picture zr.ru

In times of crisis the luxury brands are traditionally less affected as the well-to-do can still afford them. Case in point this month: both new Mercedes SUVs are within the Top 60 only a couple of months into their career: the GLE is up a further 10 spots on an adjusted September sales figure to #39 and the GLC is up 36 ranks to #59. Notice also the Chevrolet Tracker up 31 spots to #91, the Jaguar XE up 17 to #166 and the Jeep Renegade landing at #191 for its first month in market.

Previous post: Russia October 2015: Hyundai Solaris holds onto lead, market down 39%

Previous month: Russia September 2015: Now with Top 318 All-models (BSCB exclusive)

One year ago: Russia October 2014: Datsun on-DO above Opel Astra and Ford Focus

Full October 2015 Top 310 All-models Ranking Table below.

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Russia October 2015: Hyundai Solaris holds onto lead, market down 39%

Hyundai Solaris Russia September 2015. Picture courtesy carscope.ruThe Hyundai Solaris has now been #1 in Russia during 5 of the past 6 months. Picture carscope.ru

* See the Top 55 All-brands and Top 25 models by clicking on the title *

After dropping 19% in August and 29% in September, the Russian new car market return to the devastating freefall that had characterised the first six months of 2015: October sales are down 39% year-on-year to a meagre 129.958 registrations, pulling the year-to-date total down a dismal 31% to 1.322.681 units. The local economy is falling deeper into recession, handicapped by dropping commodity prices, U.S. and E.U. economic sanctions and 15.6% inflation, a lower level than the previous two months but still cramping any chance of a return to growth. The Russian government has also stopped the scrappage scheme that was artificially curbing decline rates over the past year.

Ford Focus Russia October 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruBack in the Top 25 for the first time in 2015: the Ford Focus

Most mid-term trends we have been observing over the past year get reinforced in Russia this month: homegrown manufacturer Lada implodes at -46% and only place the Granta inside the Top 8 models vs. three Renaults (Duster-Logan-Sandero). Korean carmakers Kia (-17%) and Hyundai (-8%) lose drastically less ground than the market, resulting in much improved market shares at 11.1% (vs. 8.2% a year ago) and 10.9% (vs. 7.3%) respectively. A perfect illustration, the Hyundai Solaris is the best-selling vehicle in the country for a staggering 5 of the past 6 months and is now only 4.606 units below the Granta year-to-date, a gap it may not be able to fill before 2015 comes to an end but in any case the closest a foreign nameplate has ever been to leading the Russian market annually. Just below the Granta, the Kia Rio shoots up a whopping 27%.

Geely GC9 Russia October 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruGeely is one of only three carmakers to post year-on-year sales gains in Russia this month.

Interestingly, Volkswagen drops ‘just’ 26% which means its market share actually improves year-on-year, showing no sign of negative dieselgate sales impact. Its Polo is even up 20% year-on-year in October to #4 overall. Ford is starting to reap the benefits of persisting with Russian launches (starting with the Fiesta) and sees sales drop just 25% with the Focus back inside the Top 25 for the first time since December 2014. Luxury brands continue to be significantly less affected by the current crisis: Porsche is down just 5%, BMW down 15%, Audi down 18%, Mercedes down 21% and Lexus down 29%. Novelty: a couple of Chinese brands have bottomed out and are now claiming back the ladder: Geely is up 1% and Lifan down just 14%. Notice also Daewoo down 21% and Datsun down a disappointing 32%, with the on-DO dropping out of the Top 25 for the first time in a year.

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Previous month: Russia September 2015: Momentous shift to Korean models taking root

One year ago: Russia October 2014: Datsun on-DO above Opel Astra and Ford Focus

Full October 2015 Top 55 All-brands and Top 25 models below.

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Russia September 2015: Now with Top 318 All-models (BSCB exclusive)

GAZ Gazelle Russia Septmber 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruLook at the road! The GAZ Gazelle holds onto an excellent 4th place in Russia.

* See the Top 318 All-models Ranking Table by clicking on the title *

As is now the tradition on BSCB we can share with you an All-models ranking for Russia, a freefalling market for the past 18 months. You can see the original September 2015 post describing the change of guard from Lada to Korean manufacturers here. This All-models ranking now includes LCVs, and the GAZ Gazelle resists at an outstanding 4th position, also its ranking year-to-date. The Mercedes Sprinter is up 15 spots on August to #26 vs. #47 year-to-date, and is followed by the antediluvian UAZ Bukhanka at #27.

Mercedes Sprinter Russia September 2015The Mercedes Sprinter is up to #26 in Russia this month.

Further down, the Ford Focus continues to redeem itself somewhat at #29 vs. #35 so far in 2015, supported by the smaller Ford Fiesta, recently launched in Russia and up a further two spots on last month to #33 while the Ford Kuga remains well above its year-to-date level at #39 vs. #50. The Lifan X60 remains the best-selling Chinese nameplate in Russia at #40 (+8 on August) but just: the Geely Emgrand is caching up fast at #41 (+16) as is the Geely Emgrand X7 at #44 (+15). Notice also the Audi Q7 taking off at #42, up 63 ranks on August thanks to the new model. The entire All-models ranking is below.

Original Sept post: Russia September 2015: Momentous shift to Korean models taking root

One year ago: Russia September 2014: Lada Granta hits best share, Datsun lands

Full September 2015 Top 318 All-models Ranking Table below.

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Russia September 2015: Momentous shift to Korean models taking root

Hyundai Solaris Russia September 2015. Picture courtesy carscope.ruThe Hyundai Solaris is victorious in Russia for the 4th time in the past 5 months.

* See the Top 54 All-brands and Top 25 models by clicking on the title *

As predicted last month in the wake of another drop in the value of the Ruble, the Russian new car market returns to abysmal decline rates in September at -29% to 140.867 registrations, pulling the year-to-date total down 33% to 1.192.723 vs. 1.779.961 over the same period a year ago. Homegrown carmaker Lada falls much faster than the market once again at -41% to 21.658 sales and 15.4%, just four percentage points above shining star Kia, up a mesmerising 11% to an all-time record 11.4% market share, up from 7.4% a year ago. This means Kia is now also #2 year-to-date with a round 10% market share, edging past stablemate Hyundai, also impressive in September at -2% to 10.7% share. Within the Top 10, Volkswagen (-23%), GAZ (-15%) and most impressively Ford (-9%) gain market share year-on-year, the latter ranking at an excellent 9th place with 3.4% share vs. #14 and 2.2% so far in 2015.

Porsche Cayenne Macan Russia March 2015Russian Porsche sales are up an astounding 119% year-on-year in September.

As improbable at it may seem in such a dark context, a handful of brands manage to improve their volume year-on-year: UAZ benefits from an all-SUV lineup and is up 13%, Audi is up 2%, Geely up 30% – cementing its newfound status of #1 Chinese manufacturer in Russia, Mercedes Vans is up 54% and Porsche more than doubles its sales vs. a year ago thanks to the addition of the Macan at +119%. Datsun (#17) is off-limits as it celebrates one year of presence in the market. On the other end of the performance scale, Mitsubishi (-52%), Suzuki (-54%), Chery (-58%), Citroen (-59%), Honda, Peugeot (-62%), Subaru (-64%), Opel (-72%), Jeep (-80%), Great Wall (-83%) and Ssangyong (-91%) all implode.

Kia Rio Russia September 2015The Kia Rio is up 70% on September 2014.

In the models ranking, it’s time to draw a line in the sand and declare the implacable domination of Lada on the Russian sales charts is well and truly over after starting 45 years ago in 1970 with the Lada 2101, the carmaker’s first model. In September and for the 4th time in the past 5 months, the Hyundai Solaris is the best-selling nameplate in Russia thanks to sales up 10% year-on-year to 11.006 and 7.8% vs. 5.1% a year ago. The Kia Rio is up one spot on August to rank #2 with deliveries up an incrediuble 70% on a year ago to 10.822 and a record 7.7% share vs. just 3.2% in September last year. Both models easily outsell the Lada Granta, down a devastating 49% to 8.597 sales and 6.1% share. The Granta only owes its 2015 year-to-date pole position to scrappage scheme-boosted scores in March and June. At the current rate, the Granta should keep the lead in the Full Year, but just. 2016 will be another ballgame altogether.

Lada Granta Russia September 2015End of an era: the Lada Granta has only led Russian sales twice in the past 6 months.

This ‘Korean revolution’ was the subject of a full-blown article in Russia’s #1 car magazine/website Za Rulem, quoting BestSellingCarsBlog analysis, and it all happened in less than a year: only last November the Kia Rio was the first foreign model to rank #1 in Russia. If you are a long-term BSCB reader, the astonishing progression of the Hyundai Solaris and Kia Rio over the past five years isn’t a surprise, and definitely not a freak event. My 2013 Trans-Siberian coverage brought to light the exceptional regularity of both the Solaris and the Rio in every corner of the country, from Tatarstan to far-East Siberia and Lake Baïkal. This success was built on word-of-mouth from rural regions to the bigger towns, and is the result of meticulous dealer network expansion across the largest country in the world by both Korean manufacturers.

Toyota Land Cruiser Prado Russia September 2015First Russian Top 20 ranking for the Toyota Prado.

In other model news, the VW Polo takes advantage of a solid month (-5%) to overtake the Renault Logan year-to-date and rank at a best-ever 4th place, while the Lada Largus is in a similar situation (-6%), passing its stablemate the Lada Kalina to rank #7 YTD. The Chevrolet Niva impresses at +2% and #10, the Hyundai ix35 jumps back up 27 ranks to #14 (no sign of the new Tucson yet in Russia), the UAZ Patriot shoots up 22% to a splendid 16th place, the Mazda CX-5 is up 1% to #19 and the Toyota Prado brilliantly breaks into the Russian Top 20 for the very first time thanks to deliveries up 20% to 1.797.

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Previous month: Russia August 2015: Hyundai Solaris outsells Lada Granta again

One year ago: Russia September 2014: Lada Granta hits best share, Datsun lands

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Russia August 2015: Now with Top 315 All-models (BSCB exclusive)

Lexus NX Russia August 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Lexus NX is now among Russia’s Top 30 best-selling nameplates.

* NOW UPDATED with the Top 315 All-models – click on title to see *

We can now share with you a Top 315 All-models ranking for Russia in August. As is the tradition LCVs are added to the list as AEB excludes them from their monthly Top 25. We therefore see the GAZ Gazelle surgiung from #7 in July to #4 this month with only the three high-sellers in the Russian market outpacing it: the Hyundai Solaris, Lada Granta and Kia Rio. The Gazelle sells 4.076 units for a 2.9% market share. Reversely, the UAZ Bukhanka is down 15 ranks to #27.

GAZ Gazelle Russia August 2015. Picture courtesy all-cars.byThe GAZ Gazelle is up to #4 overall in Russia this month.

The Lexus NX gains a further 5 ranks to brilliantly break into the Russian Top 30 at #30, the Toyota Land Cruiser 200 is up 7 to #34, the Ford Fiesta continues its fast ascension up the sales charts, up 12 spots on July to #35, the Subaru Forester is up 9 to #43 and the Ford Mondeo improves further to #47 vs. #73 year-to-date. We welcome the all-new Suzuki Vitara in the Russian Top 100 in August at #74.

Ford Fiesta Russia August 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Ford Fiesta continues to climb the Russian sales charts.

In the China aisle, the Lifan X60 stays in charge but drops three spots to #46, the Geely Emgrand EC (#55 vs. #82) and Emgrand X7 (#57 vs. #90) remain way above their YTD levels, while the Lifan X50 continues its fast progress at #67. The Lifan Solano at #100 is the 5th and last Chinese model in the Russian August Top 100. The Full ranking is below.

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Full August 2015 Top 315 All-models Ranking Table below.

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Russia August 2015: Hyundai Solaris outsells Lada Granta again

Hyundai Solaris Russia August 2015. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Hyundai Solaris is #1 in Russia for the third time in the past 4 months.

* See the Top 55 All-brands and Top 25 models by clicking on the title *

The Russian market decline slows down is August at -19% to 138.670 registrations, with the year-to-date total now standing at 1.051.851 deliveries, down 33% from 1.582.727 at the same time last year. The end of recession is however not in sight, with the latest drop in the value of the Ruble meaning car prices are bound to increase further later on during the year. Joerg Schreiber, Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee commented: “get ready for another ride on the Russian roller coaster!” Not exactly what could be qualified as reassuring words.

Kia Rio Russia August 2015Kia Rio sales are up a spectacular 50% year-on-year in August.

Home-grown Lada drops faster than the market at -24% to 20.174 units, resulting in a its lowest market share this year at 14.5% vs. 17.3% year-to-date and 15.4% a year ago. Only last November (13.3%) and December (13%) has Lada ever dropped lower at home. Reversely, Kia (+3%) and Hyundai (-6%) show insolent health at #2 and #3 respectively. Other carmakers improving their market share year-on-year include Chevrolet (-16%), Ford back inside the Top 10 at #9 thanks to sales up 18%, UAZ (+4%), Lexus (+58%), BMW (stable), Geely (+17%) now best-selling Chinese brand in Russia above Lifan (-25%) and Porsche (+63%).

Mitsubishi Outlander Russia August 2015. Picture courtesy turboanimals.ruThe new model boosts Mitsubishi Outlander sales up 82% in Russia this month.

The Russian models ranking is going through a once-in-a-lifetime turnaround: the Hyundai Solaris manages once again to outsell all Ladas including the Granta to snap the pole position, posting an against-the-grain 16% year-on-year increase to 10.581 sales and 7.6% vs. 5.3% a year ago. The Solaris has now been the best-seller in Russia during 3 of the past 4 months. The Granta only owes its #2 ranking to a mere 81 units at 9.070 sales vs. 8.989 for the Kia Rio, up an even more impressive 50% to see its market share shoot up from 3.5% in August 2014 to 6.5% this month. This ‘Korean revolution’ was the subject of a full-blown article in Russia’s #1 car magazine/website Za Rulem, quoting BestSellingCarsBlog analysis.

Toyota Prado Russia August 2015. Picture courtesy of themotorreport.com.auThe Toyota Prado hits an all-time high #23 this month in Russia.

Renault is the only carmaker to place two models inside the Russian Top 5 this month: the Logan at #4 (-17%) and the Duster at #5 (-20%) while the Sandero makes it three in the Top 10. The Lada Largus is back up 6 spots on July to #6 and drops only 4% year-on-year, the Chevrolet Niva surprises at +19% and #8, the Nissan Almera is up 22 to #9 but down 22% on a year ago, the Mitsubishi Outlander is up a fantastic 82% to #15 thanks to the new model, the Mazda CX-5 is up 20% to #16, the Chevrolet Cruze remains inside the Top 20 at #19 and 1.4% vs. 0.5% year-to-date and the Toyota Prado post a 2nd consecutive month (and ever) within the Top 25 at #23 (+32%).

Previous post: Russia July 2015: Now with the Top 100 best-sellers (BSCB exclusive)

Previous month: Russia July 2015: Hyundai Solaris and Kia Rio take root above all Ladas

One year ago: Russia August 2014: Renault Logan up to #4 in market down 26%

Full August 2015 Top 55 All-brands and Top 25 models below.

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