Russia May 2017: Recovery sets in with sales up 14.7%

Lada sales are up 22% at home with the Vesta up 75% to third place. Picture zr.ru 

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This is it: the Russian new car market looks to be back on track. With a 14.7% increase in May to 124.990 units, it posts the largest year-on-year gain since August 2012. The year-to-date tally is now up 5.1% to 577.449 units. The good news is the fact that this growth is spread across most best-selling brands and is not reliant on a handful of high performing ones. Leaders Lada (+22%) and Kia (+26%) both frankly outpace the market to post stronger-than-YTD market shares, and are followed by Hyundai (+13%), Renault (+22%), Toyota (+15%) and Volkswagen (+28%). In fact, inside the Top 10 Nissan (+7%) and Skoda (+6%) are the only manufacturers not posting double-digit gains. The gains are slimmer further down the ranking but Mazda (+36%), Mitsubishi (+34%) and Volvo (+114%) shine. This month we welcome Haval in the Russian brands ranking as the company discloses sales since January in one go. The Chinese manufacturer lands at #35 with 173 sales and totals 687 units year-to-date.

The Kia Rio now has a firm grip on the Russian models ranking, once again ranking #1 but trailing market growth at +7%. The Lada Granta struggles at -8%, followed closely by the Lada Vesta (+75%) lodging its highest ever market share at 5.2%, also hit last January. The Hyundai Solaris (-24%) continues to skid, but the manufacturer makes up for it with the unwavering success of the Creta at #5 and holding onto the title of best-selling SUV in Russia, a position it has ranked ever since it launched in August 2016. The next best-selling SUVs are the Renault Duster (-17%) and Toyota RAV4 (+23%) with the Lada XRAY (+80%) now settling into the Top 10 at #9. Notice also the Toyota Camry up 20%, Kia Sportage up 60%, VW Tiguan up 241%, Nissan Almera up 78%, Lada Kalina up 60% and Ford Focus up 53%.

Previous month: Russia April 2017: Market confirms rebound at +6.9%

One year ago: Russia May 2016: Skoda and Ford escape overall gloom

Full May 2017 Top 54 All-brands and Top 25 models below.

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Russia April 2017: Market confirms rebound at +6.9%

The Kia Rio is up a whopping 30% year-on-year in April.

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After delivering the largest year-on-year gain in four and a half years last month, the Russian new car market confirms it is now on the mend with another year-on-year improvement in April at +6.9% to 129.476 units. The year-to-date tally is now up 2.6% to 451.945 units. Joerg Schreiber, Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee, still call this a fragile recovery though. Market leader Lada follows the market at +7% to 20.3% share, only the second time in the past 12 month the Russian manufacturer manages to cross the 20% share milestone. Below, the next four carmakers all brilliantly and frankly outpace the market: Kia is up 32%, Hyundai up 12%, Renault up 19% and Volkswagen up 21%. In the Top 10, only Nissan also manages a double-digit gain, with Toyota down 12% and Skoda up 9%. BMW (+17%) and Mazda (+15%) also shine among major manufacturers.

The Lada XRAY ranks at a best-ever 8th place in April. 

In the models ranking, in the space of a few months the Kia Rio has established an implacable domination with sales surging once again at +30% to 8.942. The Rio has ranked first each and every month of 2017 so far, 7 times in the past 9 months and the 8 times in total after November 2014, August, September and October 2016. With the production of the Hyundai Solaris hatchback stopped to make room for the Creta, it is possible that the Rio benefits from a sales transfer from the Solaris. In any case, Lada sees its chances to reclaim the annual lead after losing to the Solaris in 2016 slim down: the Granta is down another 15% this month at #2 and the Vesta (+29%) is stuck in 4th place.

The new generation boosts VW Tiguan sales up 235% this month.

The Lada XRAY continues to progress: up 41% year-on-year and two spots on March to a record 8th place. Great gainers inside the Top 25 include the Lada 4×4 aka Niva (+33%), Nissan Qashqai (+34%), Kia Cee’d (+37%), Nissan X-Trail (+50%), Kia Sportage (+52%) and VW Tiguan (+235%). Finally, the Ford Focus returns inside the Top 25 for the first time in a year.

Previous month: Russia March 2017: Largest year-on-year gain in 4.5 years at +9%

One year ago: Russia April 2016: Vesta and XRAY push Lada to best share in 4.5 years

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Russia March 2017: Largest year-on-year gain in 4.5 years at +9%

First Top 10 ranking at home for the Lada XRAY. Picture courtesy zr.ru 

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The signs the Russian new car market may have now bottomed out are clearer this month. At +9.4% on a depressed March 2016 figure to 137.894 registrations, car sales in Russia register their largest year-on-year gain since September 2012 (+10%) which, incidentally, was the first time the Lada Granta ranked #1 at home. Another milestone to be noted: this is only the fourth time in the past four years that the Russian market shows growth after November 2016 (+0.6%), December 2014 (+2%) and December 2013 (+4%). Thanks to minimal sales drops over the first two months of 2016, the year-to-date tally also steps into positive territory at +1% to 322.464 units. Joerg Schreiber, Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee, says:“This is great news for our market which had not seen a positive quarter in more than 4 years. But as the saying goes, one swallow does not make a summer. More solid month results will be needed before we can call this a robust trend”.

Brand-wise, the Top 5 best-sellers beat the market, marking a clear concentration towards the tried-and-tested values in market and hesitations towards less popular marques. Lada (+13%) logically leads the way but its market share (18.2%) is lower than its YTD level (19.1%). If Kia (+18%) remains in 2nd place above sister brand Hyundai (+29%), it also post a market share retreating back to 10.6% vs. 11.6% so far this year while Hyundai is at 10.3% vs. 9.4%. Renault (+19%) and Toyota (+18%) round up the Top 5, with Volkswagen (+16%) also showing a double-digits gain inside the Top 10. Beyond, notice Datsun bouncing back up 103% to #12, Mazda up 22%, Peugeot up 36%, Volvo up 40%, Mercedes Vans up 50%, Jaguar up 166% and Smart up 178%.

In the models ranking, the Kia Rio remains a comfortable #1 with sales surging 44% to 8.375 and 6.% share ahead of the Lada Granta up an equally impressive 51%. The Rio has now led the Russian sales charts for a third consecutive month and the 6th time over the past 8 months after last August, September and October as well as January and February this year. The Hyundai Solaris climbs back up 4 spots on last month to third place overall but drops 13% year-on-year. The Lada Vesta is kicked out of the podium and, worryingly, sees its market share slide from 5.2% in January to 4.8% in February to 4.4% now. The Hyundai Creta is down one spot on February to round up the Top 5. The Lada XRAY breaks into its home monthly Top 10 for the very first time just over a year after its launch at #10 and 2.2% share, now ranking #9 year-to-date. Other impressive gainers inside the Top 25 models include the Toyota RAV4 (+31%), Nissan X-Trail (+33%), Toyota Camry (+39%), Datsin on-DO (+82%), VW Tiguan (+181%) and Kia Sportage (+187%).

Previous month: Russia February 2017: Kia Rio confirms top spot in market down 4.1%

One year ago: Russia March 2016: Hyundai Solaris sovereign, Vesta cannibalises Granta

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Russia February 2017: Kia Rio confirms top spot in market down 4.1%

The Kia Rio holds 6.6% of the Russian car market in February. 

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Even though the local manufacturers association AEB predicts a recovery in 2017, February sales are once again in negative territory at -4.1% to 106.658 registrations. Year-to-date, the market is now down 4.5% to 184.574 units. The Top 3 best-selling manufacturers buck the trend and all lodge positive results: Lada is up 5% to 18.8%  share, Kia is up 8% to 11.6% and Renault is up 9% to 9% share. Hyundai is in difficulty at -11% to 8.8% share in 4th place as are Toyota (-20%) and Nissan (-28%). Volkswagen posts the largest year-on-year gain in the Top 10 at +18% to hit #5, followed by UAZ up 13% to #9. Further down, notice Datsun up 20%, Lexus up 24%, Peugeot up 30%, Infiniti up 51% and Jaguar up 210%.

The Lada Vesta is on the Russian podium for the 2nd month running.

In the models aisle, the Kia Rio cements its newfound leadership with sales up 0.2% to 7.033 and 6,6% share, winning the month for the 2nd time in a row, the 5th time in the past 7 months and the 6th time ever after November 2014, August, September and October 2016 and January 2017. The Lada Granta (-17%) follows almost two percentage points of market share below at 4.9% and sees its hopes of reclaiming the annual lead it lost last year progressively fade away. Just below is the Lada Vesta, continuing its regular progression towards the top of the Russian sales charts. February marks its 2nd podium ranking in a row at a best-ever #3 with sales up 73% year-on-year. Although its progression is encouraging, the Vesta still lies 1.8 points of market share away from the pole position and Lada will have a tough time reclaiming the annual models lead in 2017.

Kia Sportage Russian sales are up 94% over the previous generation. 

2016 leader the Hyundai Solaris seems to have given up: down 62% to a paltry 7th place overall, for the first time outsold by its factory stablemate the Hyundai Creta which delivers its best market share since last September at 3.8% and continues to comfortably lead the SUV charts. The VW Polo is up 11% to #5, the Renault Sandero (+1%) and Logan (+2%) both reappear in the Russian Top 25 at #8 and #9 respectively, making it three Renaults in the Top 10 vs. only two Ladas. The other recent Lada launch, the XRAY equals the market share record it hit last month at 2% in 12th place but ranks 10th year-to-date, a spot it has not yet reached monthly. Other gainers inside the Top 25 include the Nissan X-Trail (+8%), Skoda Rapid (+20%), Kia Sportage (+94%) and VW Tiguan (+120%).

Previous month: Russia January 2017: Lada hits highest market share in over 5 years

One year ago (1): Russia February 2016: Hyundai Solaris leads YTD, market down 13%

One year ago (2): Russia February 2016: Discover the Top 275 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

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Russia January 2017: Lada hits highest market share in over 5 years

The Kia Rio is the best-selling vehicle in Russia in January.

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Just as local manufacturers association AEB had predicted a recovery in 2017, January sales in Russia are down a further 5% year-on-year on an already very low base to just 77.916 registrations. This is the weakest month in seven years and only the fourth time in the past decade Russian registrations fall to five-digit figures with January 2010 (74.086 units), January 2016 (81.849) and February 2010 (91.922). Homegrown market leader Lada goes against the grain and posts a 5% year-on-year gain to hit 21% share, to be compared with 18.7% over the FY2016. After a slump to a lowest-ever 13% in December 2014, this is Lada’s highest market share at home since September 2011 (21.6%) and only its third time above 20% in over five years (20.3% in April 2016 and 20.2% in February 2014).

First podium ranking at home for the Lada Vesta. 

In second place, Kia soars 14% to 13.2% share while sister brand Hyundai drops 16% to 8.6%, distancing Renault (+4%), Volkswagen (+4%), Nissan (-6%) and Toyota (-37%). Skoda is up two spots on December to #8, Mercedes up five to #9 and GAZ up 25% year-on-year to #10. Further down, Ford (+0.5%), Audi (+3%), Mazda (+7%), Datsun (+11%), Peugeot (+16%), Citroen (+20%), Jeep (+21%), Infiniti (+27%), Cadillac (+63%), Chevrolet (+44%), Changan (+174%) and Jaguar (+294%) brave the adverse conditions and are some of the brands posting year-on-year gains in Russia in January.

The Skoda Rapid hits a record 7th place this month in Russia.

Model-wise, the Kia Rio surges 60% to take the lead for the 5th time ever (after November 2014, August, September and October 2016), dislodging the Lada Granta (-37%) while the 2016 leader, the Hyundai Solaris, freefalls 49% to #4. This means the Lada Vesta (+149%) leaps onto the monthly podium at home for the very first time. The Hyundai Creta is back up one spot to #5, holding onto the title of #1 SUV in Russia that has been its property ever since its launch last August. The Skoda Rapid lurches up 10 spots on last month to hit a record 7th place (previous best: #9 in May 2016), the Chevrolet Niva is up 41% to #9, the Lada 4×4 up 1% to #10 and the Lada XRAY up two spots on December to a best-ever #11. Notice also the Kia Sportage up 14 ranks to #12, the VW Tiguan up 12 to #16, Nissan X-Trail up 11 to #18, Lada Priora up 11 to #20 and Mitsubishi Outlander up 10 to #25.

The Lada XRAY ends January just 49 sales off a first Top 10 ranking at home.

Previous post: Russia Full Year 2016: Hyundai Solaris ends 45 years of Lada domination

One year ago (1): Russia January 2016: Market down 29%, Lada Vesta in Top 10

One year ago (2): Russia January 2016: Discover the Top 267 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

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Russia Full Year 2016: Hyundai Solaris ends 45 years of Lada domination

Hyundai Solaris Russia 2016. Picture courtesy trendymen.ru The Hyundai Solaris is responsible for a once-in-a-generation market shift in Russia.

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Check out 45 years worth of Russian Archived data here

After a catastrophic year in 2015 (-36%), the Russian new light vehicle market lodges a fourth consecutive year of decline but seems to have bottomed up in 2016 with a more digestible 11% drop – and even one month in positive (November). However at just 1.425.791 sales, Russian sales are still greatly handicapped by the economic crisis triggered by low oil prices and sanctions over the Ukrainian war, and have cancelled over a decade of growth and reach their lowest level in 12 years (since 2004). Local data provider the Association of European Businesses (AEB) believes the Russian market will end its skidding in 2017 and predicts a moderate 4% gain to 1.48 million units.

Lada Vesta Russia March 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Vesta and X-RAY boost Lada’s market share up two percentage points to 18.7% in 2016. 

After years of seemingly unstoppable decline, homegrown market leader Lada posts the best performance of all seven best-selling manufacturers in Russia in 2016 thanks to the gearing up of the Vesta and X-RAY: down just 1% to see its market share up by almost two percentage points to 18.7%. A paradoxical situation given the historic event in the models ranking (see further down). Kia (-9%) and Hyundai (-10%) evolve slightly better than the market, resulting it similar market share, both above 10%. Renault (-3%), Toyota (-4%) and Volkswagen (-5%) fare much better and gain significant share. Nissan on the other hand crumbles down 23% to #7 overall.

Lexus RX Russia 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruLexus soars 19% year-on-year in a Russian market down 11%. Picture zr.ru 

A dozen manufacturers do manage a year-on-year volume gain in 2015: for BMW (+0.1%), Skoda (+1%) and UAZ (+1%) the improvements are only marginal. LCV specialist GAZ jumps 9% despite an ailing lineup, Ford (+10%) is already bearing the fruits of its perseverance in Russia when fellow US carmaker Chevrolet freefalls 39%, Lifan is now the uncontested Chinese leader in Russia with deliveries up 15% to 17.460 vs. 4.758 for Chery, its immediate  follower and Lexus leaps 5 spots and 19% to tease BMW at 24.117 sales vs. 27.507. Jaguar has the XR and F-Pace to thank for its 113% surge in 2016.

kia-rio-russia-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Kia Rio topped the monthly Russian sales charts three times in 2016. 

A once-in-a-generation event has unfolded throughout the year in the Russian models ranking: for the first time since the creation of the Lada brand in 1970, a foreign nameplate is the annual best-seller in the country. As we predicted at the start of the year, the Hyundai Solaris brilliantly takes command of the Russian sales charts despite sales down 22% to 90.380 due in part to the discontinuation of its hatchback variant in the St Petersburg plant. Paradoxically, after topping the monthly charts for 7 months in 2015, the Solaris only needed to do so 4 times this year while the Lada Granta ranked first 5 times and the Kia Rio led the way for 3 months. All three models fit within less than 3.000 sales or 0.2% market share at year-end, with the Granta reclaiming the 2nd spot by the skin of its teeth thanks to two months spent at #1 at the end of the year.

hyundai-creta-russia-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruInstant blockbuster: the Hyundai Creta has been the #1 SUV in Russia ever since its August launch.

The main culprit for the Granta’s demise is to be found in 4th place: the all-new Lada Vesta, launched in November 2015, geared up all through the year to finish at a record 7.014 sales and 4.8% share in December. Over the Full Year, the Vesta adds up to 55.174 units and will be a serious candidate to the title of best-selling car in Russia in 2017. Below, the GAZ Gazelle (+11%), VW Polo (+5%), Renault Duster (+0.2%), Toyota RAV4 (+13%) and Chevrolet Niva (-5%) all improve their market shares, but the big movers are further down the annual ranking. Launched in August, the Hyundai Creta has been the #1 SUV in Russia since, as incredible as it sounds. It landed directly at #6, peaked at #4 and 5.058 sales in September and remained the booming segment’s leader all the way through to the end of the year, with its annual #16 ranking far from reflecting the extent of its performance.

renault-kaptur-russia-september-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Renault Kaptur broke into the monthly Top 10 in December.

The Lada X-RAY is the second instant blockbuster SUV for 2016, launching in February, peaking at #13 in April and December and ending 2016 at #20 with just under 20.000 sales. Finally, the Renault Kaptur (larger than the Captur and based on a Duster platform) showed its bonnet in June to break into the Top 10 in December at #8 with 3.710 sales, only 292 less than the Creta and 186 below the Duster. The Creta, Kaptur and X-RAY could well all fit within the 2017 Top 10. Verdict in a year’s time. Other notable 2016 performers include the Hyundai Tucson up 931% to #36 for its first full year of sales, the Lexus RX up 149% to #39, the Mercedes GLE up 156% to #44, Lexus LX up 119% to #49, Kia Optima up 103% to #51, Lifan X50 up 105% to #43 and Mercedes GLC up 195% to #58. The Mercedes GLS (#67), Jaguar F-Pace (#128), Ravon R2 (#144), Ravon Nexia R3 (#162), FAW Oley (#184) and Zotye T600 (#191) are the other all-new nameplates to break into the Top 200.

Previous month: Russia November 2016: Lada outpaces market up for 1st time in 2 years

Previous year: Russia Full Year 2015: Hyundai Solaris teases Lada Granta in market down 36%

Two years ago: Russia Full Year 2014: Lada Granta survives foreign push

Full Year 2016 Top 60 All-brands and Top 400 All-models vs. Full Year 2015 data below.

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Russia November 2016: Lada outpaces market up for 1st time in 2 years

lada-vesta-russia-november-2016The Lada Vesta sells a record 5.661 units in Russia in November. 

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Finally! The Russian new car market manages a slight year-on-year gain in November (+0.6%) after 22 consecutive months of decline – the last gain was seen in December 2014. It’s too early to tell whether the market has bottomed out indeed though and this is confirmed by Joerg Schreiber, Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee: “It is good to be able to say such a thing after all, but it is far too early to read a trend turnaround into this. For now, all eyes are on December which has the potential to demonstrate that the market continues to move in the right direction”. Lest we forget the year-to-date tally is down 12% to 1.279.987 and that November 2016 is only the third month of year-on-year gains in the past 46.

jaguar-f-pace-russia-november-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe F-Pace boosts Russian Jaguar sales up 265% this month. Pictures zr.ru 

The Top 5 best-selling carmakers all outperform the market: homegrown behemoth Lada is in excellent shape this month with a 18% surge to 19.3% share, fast outpacing its immediate followers Hyundai (11.9%) and Kia (11.1%) both up 4%. Renault soars 13% to #4, distancing Toyota (+7%), Volkswagen (-8%) and Nissan, in great difficulty again at -18%. Chery (+10%), GAZ (+18%), Lexus (+22%), Porsche (+29%), Mini (+32%), Jeep (+38%), Subaru (+45%), Volkswagen Vans (+61%), Jaguar (+265%) and Smart (+352%) post the most spectacular sales improvements in November, while at the other end of the performance ladder Datsun (-16%), Suzuki (-20%), Land Rover (-23%), Mitsubishi (-30%), Audi (-32%), Peugeot (-34%), Volvo (-37%), Fiat (-41%), Dongfeng (-64%) and Geely (-80%) all fall sharply.

hyundai-creta-russia-november-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruPerfect scoresheet for the Hyundai Creta in Russia: 4 months out of 4 as #1 SUV. 

In the space of two years, the Russian models ranking has made a sharp U-turn: a Lada leading it is now a rarity, something that used to be utterly unthinkable. In November, the Lada Granta reclaims the title of best-selling nameplate in the country for the first time since last May, but its meagre advantage over its rivals the Kia Rio (108 sales) and Hyundai Solaris (257) do nothing to change anything in the YTD ladder. After 11 months, the Solaris has a comfortable lead at 82.338 sales (-23%) vs. 79.633 for the Kia Rio (-10%) and 78.953 for the Granta (-27%). In other words, we are headed towards the first annual win for a foreign nameplate in Russia since the Lada marque was launched in 1970! This even though the Solaris hatchback was discontinued to give way to the Creta on the Hyundai St Petersburg factory… The culprit for the Granta’s dive: the Vesta, up 11% on October to post a new record monthly volume at 5.661.

nissan-qashqai-russia-november-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Qashqai is up 44% but doesn’t prevent Nissan from freefalling 18% in November.

Four months on sale in Russia and four months as the best-selling SUV in the country: it’s a full strike for the Hyundai Creta ranking 5th overall with 4.814 deliveries and distancing the Renault Duster at 3.569 (-17%), the Chevrolet Niva at 2.664 (-11%) and the Renault Kaptur at 2.327, the other instant blockbuster in the country and the segment. With the Logan at #9 (-11%) and the Sandero at #10 (+17%), Renault even places four nameplates inside the November Top 12 vs. just three for Lada. Other great performing SUVs include the Lada XRAY at its best since last May at #16, the Nissan Qashqai up 44% to #18 and the Toyota Prado up 22% to #22.

Previous month: Russia October 2016: Kia Rio dominates again in market down just 3%

One year ago (1): Russia November 2015: Hyundai Solaris #1, Lada Vesta lands in Top 20

One year ago (2): Russia November 2015: Now with Top 306 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

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Russia October 2016: Kia Rio dominates again in market down just 3%

kia-rio-russia-october-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Kia Rio now ranks #2 year-to-date above the Lada Granta.

* NOW UPDATED with the Top 55 All-brands and Top 260 All-models – see title *

It would appear scrappage schemes are finally triggering a bottoming out of the Russian new car market, at least this month with a thin 3% year-on-year decline to 126.658 registrations. The year-to-date tally remains in double-digit negative territory at -13% to 1.147.670 units. Once again the brands ranking shows a clear consolidation of sales around the best-selling brands, with 9 in the Top 10 posting year-on-year gains even though the market as a whole is in negative. Homegrown Lada posts a stunning performance with sales up 13% to 23.307, distancing Kia (+4%), Hyundai (+0.3%), Renault (+2%), Toyota surging up 16%, Volkswagen (+1%), GAZ (+15%), UAZ (+1%) and Skoda (+0.1%). Only Nissan (-17%) struggles. Outside the Top 10, the clear winner is Lexus shooting up 85% to #14 and 2.221 sales vs. #20 in FY2015. Notice also Jaguar up 156%, Mini up 28%, Isuzu up 79% and Smart up 67%. Reversely, Chery (-29%), Chevrolet (-30%), Audi (-31%), Volvo (-32%), Suzuki (-51%), Mitsubishi (-59%) and Fiat (-64%) and Geely (-84%) implode.

renault-kaptur-hyundai-creta-russia-october-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Renault Kaptur and Hyundai Creta are instant blockbusters in Russia.

Model-wise, the Kia Rio manages a third consecutive month in pole position, beating the market at -1% to 8.047 sales and overtaking the Lada Granta (-27% this month) for the 2nd place YTD. The Hyundai Solaris remains the best-seller YTD with 74.079 sales (-22%), despite dropping 21% in October due to the discontinuation of the hatchback variant to give way to the Creta on the St Petersburg factory. Talking of which, the Hyundai Creta is the best-selling SUV in the country for the third month running – in fact it has not yet ranked below that since it launched – thanks to 4.576 sales and 3.6%, this time outsold by the Lada Vesta (5.074) for 4th place. The Toyota RAV4 surges 146% to #11, the Renault Kaptur is stable at an outstanding 13th place, the Lada XRAY is up 3 spots on September to #19 and the VW Tiguan is up 54% to reappear inside the Top 25 for the first time since September 2015 at #23.

Lexus LX Russia October 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Lexus LX is up 17-fold year-on-year in October in Russia. 

Adding LCVs to the original ranking brings the GAZ Gazelle at #4 overall with sales soaring 18% year-on-year and the antediluvian UAZ Bukhanka lands at #15 (+7%). Further down the ranking, notice the Kia Soul up 78% to #35, the Lexus RX up 643% to #44, Lexus LX up 1609% to #50 and the Lifan Solano up 88% to #64 and third best-selling Chinese nameplate in Russia below the Lifan X60 (#41) and X50 (#48). We welcome the Ravon Nexia R3 – the rebadge of the now-defunct Daewoo Nexia – at #125, the Infiniti QX30 at #195, the Genesis EQ900 at #201 and the Cadillac XT5 at #242.

Previous month: Russia September 2016: Hyundai Creta (#4) and Renault Kaptur (#13) stun

One year ago: Russia October 2015: Hyundai Solaris holds onto lead, market down 39%

Full October 2016 Top 55 All-brands and Top 260 All-models below.

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Russia September 2016: Creta (#4) and Kaptur (#13) stun

hyundai-creta-russia-september-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Hyundai Creta climbs up to 4th place overall for its 2nd month on sale in Russia. 

* NOW UPDATED with the Top 55 All-brands and Top 257 All-models – see title *

Russian new car sales post a 21st consecutive month of year-on-year decline in September at -10.9% to 125.568 units, pulling the year-to-date tally down 14.4% to 1.020.932. Despite the doom-and-gloom overall market results, 10 of the Top 15 brands actually post year-on-year gains, with lower-volume brands suffering the most. Market leader Lada is up 5% to 22.837 sales and 18.2%, followed by Hyundai (-6%) and Kia (-17%). Renault (+1%), Toyota (+18%) and Volkswagen (+3%) are in positive as are GAZ (+2%), Skoda (+5%) and UAZ (+2%) in the Top 10. Below, Mercedes (+1%), BMW (+6%) but most impressively Lifan (+12%) and Lexus (+51%) shine. Subaru (+37%) and Jaguar (+107%) also impress further down the ranking. At the other end of the stick Ford (-27%), Audi (-39%), Datsun (-41%), Peugeot (-41%), Mitsubishi (-52%), Citroen (-54%), Chevrolet (-56%), Suzuki (-63%), Honda (-74%) and Geely (-85%) all implode.

renault-kaptur-russia-september-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Renault Kaptur hits a record #13 spot in September.

In the models ranking, the Kia Rio posts a second consecutive month in pole position (and the third ever after November 2014) despite sales tumbling down 26% to 8.014 vs. -9% for the Granta in 2nd place at 7.815 units. The Hyundai Solaris, still #1 year-to-date, dives down 41%, partly because of the discontinuation of the hatchback variant – which accounted for roughly 20% of the nameplate’s sales in Russia – to give way in the Hyundai St Petersburg plant to the hero of the past two months: the Creta. Landing directly at #6 and #1 SUV last month, the Creta gains a further 45% and two spots to step up to #4 with 5.058 sales and 4% share. Based on BSCB calculations, this is the highest market share ever reached by a single SUV in Russia (previous best: 3.9% by the Renault Duster in May 2016) and the highest monthly volume so far this year (previous best: 5.298 by the Renault Duster in December 2015).

Nissan X-Trail Russia September 2016. Picture courtesy zr.ruThe Nissan X-Trail soars 223% year-on-year in September. 

It’s a double-edged sword for Hyundai as this tremendous success could prevent the Solaris from finishing 2016 in the top spot. For now it leads with 66.602 sales (-22%) vs. 63.622 (-30%) for the Lada Granta and 62.278 (-13%) for the Kia Rio. While the VW Polo goes from strength to strength at +21% in 5th place, the Lada Vesta may already have reached its full potential: it drops two spots to #6 and 3.5% share, its lowest since last May after hitting 4.8% in July. Below, the Renault Duster (-2%) and Lada 4×4 (-8%) are unaffected by the Creta and gain market share by sliding down slower than the market.

infiniti-q30-russia-september-2016The Infiniti Q30 lands at #199 in Russia this month. 

The Toyota Camry (+36%) and RAV4 (+221%) round up the Top 10 with spectacular results and the second hero of the month is the Renault Kaptur back up 13 spots on August to a record-breaking 13th position with 2.218 sales. The Nissan X-Trail (+223%) and Qashqai (+73%) also impress. Further down, the Lifan X60 (#38) leads Chinese models ahead of the Lifan X50 (#48), Lifan Solano (#82) and Chery Tiggo (#90). Among recent launches (<12 months), the Hyundai Tucson (#47), Mercedes GLC (#58), Mercedes GLS (#59) and Jaguar F-Pace (#100) all fit within the Top 100 while we welcome the Infiniti Q30 into the Russian sales charts this month at #199.

Previous month: Russia August 2016: Kia Rio leads, Hyundai Creta instant #1 SUV

One year ago (1): Russia September 2015: Momentous shift to Korean models taking root

One year ago (2): Russia September 2015: Now with Top 318 All-models (BSCB exclusive)

Full September 2016 Top 55 All-brands and Top 257 All-models below.

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Russia August 2016: Kia Rio leads, Hyundai Creta instant #1 SUV

hyundai-creta-russia-august-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Hyundai Creta is an instant blockbuster in Russia, landing directly at #6.

* NOW UPDATED with the Top 55 All-brands and Top 257 All-models *

If you had hoped the Russian new car market would start to erode its race to the bottom this month, you were wrong: August is down another 18% year-on-year to just 113.749 units, pulling the year-to-date tally down 14.9% to 895.357 deliveries. Always on the lookout for a positive outlook to this dire situation Joerg Schreiber, Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee, notices that this steep decline is accentuated by an August 2015 volume “propped up by currency fluctuations prompting customers to pull ahead the purchase of their car.” Also, Schreiber notes the market is now above the former historical low levels reached in 2009. August 2009 indeed was at 110.934 sales – only marginally lower – but the 2009 tally after 8 months was at a much higher 989.996. 2016 is therefore still slated to be one of the single weakest years of Russian new car sales so far this millennium.

kia-rio-russia-august-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ruThe Kia Rio is the best-selling vehicle in Russia in August.

It’s not bad news for all manufacturers though: seven of them in the Top 35 manage a year-on-year gain in August, starting with market leader Lada up 4% to 20.908 sales and 18.4% share. One main component of this revival is its new 2015-2016 lineup composed of the Vesta (#4) and X-RAY (#19) but this month the antediluvian 4×4 gains share (-14%) while the Priora actually gains volume (+1%). Lada’s performance is achieved despite the continuing cooling of the Granta (#3 in August at -39%) and the demise of the Kalina (-28%) and Largus (-56%). Hyundai also improves its market share with volumes down just 5% year-on-year to 11.906 and 10.5%. The Korean carmaker compensates the worrying loss of the Solaris (-41% but still #1 year-to-date) with one of the most successful new nameplate launches in Russia – no less: the Creta, spectacularly landing directly at #6 with 3.479 sales which means it has for its first month in market become the #1 SUV in the country, outselling the Renault Duster (3.473) and Toyota RAV4 (2.509)…

VW Polo Russia August 2016. Picture courtesy abw.byThe VW Polo is up 36% year-on-year in August… 

Paradoxically, Kia is the manufacturer losing the most ground in the Top 6 at -17% but it places the Rio as the best-selling model in Russia this month with 7.178 sales. It is only the second time the Rio is #1 after November 2014 when it broke the spell and became the first foreign model to lead the Russian sales charts since the creation of the Lada brand in 1970. Renault limits its fall to -7% thanks to good resistance from the Duster (-1%) and Sandero (-9%) and despite a weak Logan score (-40%) just as the all-new Kaptur drops out of the Top 25 (#28). Toyota drops even less at -4% and manages positive scores for its best-sellers Camry (+14%) and RAV4 (+6%) – both ranking inside the Top 10 – while the Prado (-1%) quietly breaks its Russian ranking record at #18 (#20 with LCVs), the nameplate’s third time inside the Top 20 in the past 12 months – and ever – after September and December 2015.

skoda-rapid-russia-august-2016-picture-courtesy-zr-ru …as is the Rapid, Skoda’s best-seller in Russia.

Volkswagen (-7%) owes its slight decline to a fantastic score by the Polo (+36%) reclaiming the #5 spot YTD off the Renault Duster but Nissan (-30%) struggles despite the Qashqai up 94%. There are two additional carmakers in the Top 10 managing year-on-year gains: Skoda (+6%) thanks to the Rapid (+36%) now by far its Russian best-seller and UAZ (+3%) with the Bukhanka up 21% and the Patriot back up to #22. Below, Mercedes (+1%), Volkswagen Vans (+51%) and Jaguar (+47%) shine.

lada-vis-pickup-russia-august-2016-picture-courtesy-madeinrussia-czThe Lada VIS Pickup is up 4-fold on its August 2015 score. 

Among Chinese manufacturers, Lifan (+2%) now outsells #2 Chery by almost 4 to 1 and places both the X60 (#39) and X50 (#41) well inside the Top 50. For the latter, this is the nameplate’s best ranking in Russia so far with sales up 71% year-on-year. Among other great performers within the models ranking, notice the Lexus LX at #36 (+182%), the Mercedes GLS at #49, Ford Ecosport at #54 (+67%), VW Passat at #80 (+106%), Lada VIS Pickup at #87 (+342%), BMW X4 at #95 (+737%) and Dongfeng Fengshen H30 at #106 (+53%).

Previous post: Russia July 2016: Discover the Top 260 All-models (BSCB Exclusive)

Previous month:: Russia July 2016: Renault Kaptur instant blockbuster, Ravon brand lands

One year ago: Russia August 2015: Hyundai Solaris outsells Lada Granta again

Full August 2016 Top 55 All-brands and Top 257 All-models below.

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