All my best wishes for this new year, may it bring you all you have ever wanted! A very exciting year ahead, with a lot of important new launches that are bound to reshuffle the models rankings of many countries…
For those of you that were checking this blog out a year ago, you may remember I made a list of my most anticipated questions about world car sales for 2011… You will find the responses below the jump as well as my most anticipated questions for 2012!
Will the Lada Granta dominate Russia?
Will the VW Up! break into the German, European Top 10?
Which model will be the best-seller in the world’s biggest market – China?
Will Baojun place a model in the Chinese Top 20?
Will the Peugeot 208 do better than the Peugeot 207? 206? 205?
Will the new Fiat Palio threaten the VW Gol in Brazil?
Will a foreign model (the VW Golf?) lead British sales at year-end for the first time in history?
Will the Hyundai Eon fight the Maruti Alto for India’s pole position?
Will the new Fiat Panda end the Fiat Punto’s 18-year domination in Italy?
Will a Chinese export manage to break into the Top 10 of a sizeable market?
Will the Holden Cruze be Australia’s #1 car for the first time?
Will the Skoda Rapid sell better than the Octavia and Fabia in Central Europe?
Will the DS series from Citroen continue to succeed with the DS5?
Will the Toyota Camry be the best-selling passenger car in the US for the 11th consecutive year?
Will the Ford F-Series be the best-selling vehicle in the US for the 31st year in a row?
Will Iran start accessing new designs instead of 25-year old cars like the Kia Pride and Peugeot 405?
Will the Dacia Duster break into the French and Brazilian podiums – even for a month?
Will the Dacia Lodgy be the third Dacia to break into the French Monthly Top 5 after the Sandero and Duster?
Will the Renault Clio 4 do better than the 3?
Will Hyundai threaten Toyota in world sales?
Will the Tata Nano be finally resurrected or put out of its misery?
And there are so many more…
And the responses for my 2011 questions are below:
Will Toyota crack India with the Etios? Not really… It broke into the Top 10 but failed to challenge the very top of the ranking
Will the Chevrolet Cruze or VW Lavida replace the BYD F3 on top of Chinese sales? No, the Buick Excelle did, but both Chevy Cruze and VW Lavida are now ahead of the BYD F3.
Will the new Ford Focus take the lead in the UK and threaten the VW Golf in Europe? No, the new Ford Focus had a disappointing start, it is #2 in the UK and only #7 in Europe
Will the Hyundai Sonata continue its amazing run in the US? Yes, it is bound to finish 2011 at #11 vs. #12 in 2010
Will the Dacia Duster or the Nissan Qashqai establish themselves within the European Top 10? No, but both models had a fantastic 2011, with the Qashqai briefly appearing in the European Top 10.
Will the Fiat Uno end 24 years of VW Gol domination in Brazil? No, but it was rather close…
Will the Toyota Hilux still be the king of Africa? Yes, and with a new generation just launched its reign is bound to last…
Will the VW Amarok threaten it in South America? No, not even in Argentina where it is built.
Will the Corolla lead world sales again? Possibly, but I do not have any official figures.
Will the Nissan Juke do even better than the Qashqai? No, but it is a clear success, approaching the Top 20 in France for example.
Which Chinese brands will make the biggest inroads in export markets? Chinese brands continue to struggle in export markets, but Great Wall is doing well notably in Australia and New Caledonia. The biggest export launch this year was JAC in Brazil, managing to place 2 models in the Top 50 at some stage this year. Interestingly, the Chinese cars that are the most successful in export markets are foreign brands using China as a manufacturing hub, I’m thinking the Chevrolet Sail #2 in Algeria.