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Cuba Full Year 2017: Lada Vesta imports should make it the #1 car

Thanks to one batch of imports, the Lada Vesta should be the best-selling car in Cuba for 2017.

See the original article here.

Even though the Cuban market is open to foreign imports since January 2014, in July of the same year we wondered whether it was the smallest car market in the world with just 50 units sold in the first six months, almost exclusively second hand. This due to sticker prices being marked up a staggering 400% or more upon entry in the country, pricing family sedans like supercars. Since then, not much has filtered out about this market. Given its tax structure, it seems likely that the best-sellers in Cuba are dictated by government orders. In December 2017, Russian carmaker Avtovaz (Lada) reported it resumed its exports towards the country for the first time in 12 years., with 320 Lada Vesta for the tourism sector and taxi services. “Cuba is one of our preferred export markets,” said Avtovaz president Nicolas Maure. Lada indeed has a long tradition in Cuba, where old models are still used to this day. This batch is likely to make the Lada Vesta the best-selling new vehicle in Cuba in 2017.

Lada taxis in Cuba 

Is Cuba the smallest market in the world at 50 sales in 6 months?

Vintage-American-car-Cuba-by-Teemu-RPicture by Teemu R. All rights reserved.

* You can see the original article by clicking on the title! *

In October 2011 I reported that car purchase was finally legalised in Cuba after over 50 years of tight restrictions country-wide. However at the time I had expressed reservations as to how much new and used car sales in Cuba could grow given the average monthly salary in the country is just 17 dollars. Turns out I was on the money… The 2011 law change affected car purchases between Cuban consumers and last January all restrictions on vehicle purchase were lifted, meaning importing companies can now start doing business in the country.

According to South African website, citing the official website, itself citing Iset Vazquez, vice president of the state enterprise Corporacion CIMEX, Cuban dealers sold just 50 cars and 4 motorcycles across the country in the first six months of 2014! That’s old and new combined! Quite an unbelievable result that actually has a very simple explanation. Upon import into the country, it would appear that sticker prices are marked up a staggering 400% or more, pricing family sedans like European sports cars. To its defence, the Cuban government reportedly said it would invest 75% of the proceeds from new car sales in its woeful public transportation system.

Even more troubling, most of the sales so far this year appear to be 2nd hand, and even then they are pricing just about every living Cuban out of the market for a car. A few examples: a 2013 Peugeot 206 (a model originally launched in 1998) was priced at $91,000 in Havana while the larger 508 would set you back wanted $262,000. Not even in Singapore are prices so high.

Previous Cuba post: Cuba October 2011: Geely ships second batch of cars

Original article below.

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Strategy: How the Chinese are setting themselves up for success (Part 2: Latin America)

Chery QQ Brazil May 2011Brazilian Chery QQ

* This is Part 2 of 5 in my series on Chinese carmakers abroad. See also Part 1 (Africa)Part 3 (Eastern Europe)Part 4 (Asia) and Part 5 (Mature markets) *

If Chinese carmakers have started exporting to Africa in the early 00′s, they set foot in Latin America even earlier, with JAC starting to export trucks to Bolivia back in 1990. Similarly to the strategy they adopted in Africa, Chinese manufacturers have initially focused on the less developed car markets in the region. They are now in the process of stepping up their involvement by launching in the bigger, more mature markets like Argentina and Brazil.

FAW S80 Uruguay 2013FAW S80. FAW is the 10th most popular brand in Uruguay vs. #16 at home in China.

In fact, the foundations the Chinese have built in secondary Latin American car markets are potentially their strongest in the world so far. The first logical anchor points in the region are Uruguay and Paraguay, both located between Argentina and Brazil and all part of the Mercosur, which makes it easier to export towards those two powerhouses as local assembly with 30% to 50% share of local components currently receive zero-tariff status inside the Mercosur. As a result both Chery and Lifan (40,000 units/year capacity) have assembly factories in Uruguay while Dongfeng has one in Paraguay.

In Uruguay, 26 of the 54 brands on sale are Chinese, capturing 23.3% of the market in 2013, up from 19.5% in 2012 – their highest country penetration outside of China and actually on par with the penetration of Chinese passenger cars within China! There are 8 Chinese carmakers in the Uruguayan Top 20 and 2 among the Top 10: Chery is 5th with 5.9% share and is even up to #2 in February 2013 with almost 10% of the market below just Chevrolet and above Volkswagen! FAW is 10th at 3.3%, followed by Geely at #13 and 2.7% (25 units short off beating Toyota!), BYD at #15 and Great Wall at #16.

DongFeng Mini Pick-up Paraguay 2012The DongFeng Mini Pick-up is now produced in Paraguay.

In Paraguay, the Chinese hold 9% of the passenger car market but 59% of the truck market! There were 10 Chinese among the Top 30 best-selling brands in 2013, led by ChangAn up 119% to #11, Haima up 37% to #16, Great Wall up 9% to #17 and Foton up 43% to #19.

Geely CK Cuba October 2011Geely CK Police car in Cuba

Peru is another very important hub for Chinese manufacturers in Latin America: it is one of the fastest growing car markets in the world, with the last 4 years all being new records topped up by 210,326 registrations in 2013, and is “facing” China on the Pacific Ocean, making it an enticing port-of-entry into the continent. Roughly 15% of the Peruvian car market go to Chinese models, and latest data shows JAC up 80% year-on-year in 2013 to #10 brand, Great Wall down 8% to #15, Chery up 8% to #17, Foton up 1% to 320 and Lifan up 73% to #20.

Local analysts even estimate that as much as 96 Chinese car brands (who knew there even were that many?!) are sold in Peru both formally in dealerships and informally by rogue vendors…

DongFeng S30 Venezuela February 2013The DongFeng S30 was the best-selling model in Venezuela in December 2012…

Venezuela is a slightly different situation because the exchanges with the rest of the region are more patchy, so Chinese carmakers’ success so far has stemmed either from local production – Chery has started assembling cars there in 2011 but no figures are available – or direct agreements with the Chinese government, like the unprecedented 4,000-unit batch of DongFeng S30 imported in late 2012 which enabled the model to simply take the lead of the sales charts in December of that year. The S30 went on to lodge 5 consecutive months within the Top 5 best-sellers in Venezuela across 2012 and 2013.

Chevrolet N300 Colombia December 2011Chevrolet N300

If we go up one notch to Chile – yet another record-breaking market at 378,000 sales in 2013, Chinese brands have a 11% market share (up from 7% in 2012!), with no less than 19 of them in the Top 50. They are led by Great Wall at #13, Chery at #20, JAC at #21, BYD at #26, Geely at #27, ChangAn at #28 and Dongfeng at #29. In Colombia, Chery is the first Chinese brand to have ever broken into the annual Top 10 at #10 in 2013 with 4,421 sales and 1.5% share. JAC (#13), Dongfeng (#17), Hafei (#21), Great Wall (#23), Geely (#29) and Zotye (#30) also rank inside the Top 30. Ecuador (with Chery ranking 11th and Geely 12th in 2013) and Bolivia are two other developing Latin American markets likely to have seen a recent flood of Chinese cars.

The Caribbean region is yet another under-developed zone most carmakers traditionally sidestep, except the Chinese. Geely regularly ships cars to Cuba, the last batch from October 2011 was composed of 1,300 Geely CK (now a common sight in La Habana as a police car) and 250 Emgrand EC7. In the Dominican Republic, a few Chinese models have already managed to break into the Full Year Top 20 like the BYD F3 (#9 in 2010), the DongFeng Cargo Van (#14 in 2011) and the Jinbei Haise (#18 in 2011).

JAC J3 Brazil December 2011Brazilian JAC J3

This all means that Chinese carmakers have now established a solid footing in almost all Latin American markets, working extremely hard to secure the foundations for long-term success in the region. They are now using these stepping stones to access Argentina (all-time high 955,000 units in 2013) and Brazil (record 3.6 million units in 2012), where the volumes really are. In Argentina, Chery has started assembling a limited amount of cars locally and as a result has seen a few models make their way up the ladder: both the Chery QQ (#47) and Tiggo (#53) reached their highest ranking so far in the country in March 2013.

In Brazil, JAC broke with the Chinese tradition and chose to enter the market all guns blazing on 18 March 2011, which they called J-Day. They simultaneously inaugurated 50 dealerships across the country and hired a famous TV presenter, Fausto Silva, as their ambassador in a multi-million dollar TV campaign.

JAC J2 Brazil February 2013. Picture courtesy of JAC J2 is now the best-selling Chinese model in Brazil (#64 in April 2013)

However JAC’s strong start in the country has since fizzled out. The JAC J3 hatchback (#36) and J3 Turin sedan (#56) both hit their highest ranking only 3 months after launch in June 2011 while in the meantime the Chery QQ peaked at #36 in September 2011, but 2012 was harsh: J3 at -37%, J3 Turin at -40% and QQ at -25%, on the back of increased levies on imports. 2013 wasn’t better with JAC down 11% and Chery down 45% as a whole. In 2013 the JAC J2 became the best-selling Chinese model in Brazil but it only ranks 87th. Now both manufacturers realise their success in Brazil lies in local assembly: Chery is reportedly building a 150,000 annual unit-production facility in the São Paulo state while JAC is set to open a 100,000 annual vehicle-plant in the state of Bahia in 2014.

A very strong base in Latin America’s developing markets should ensure Chinese manufacturers surf on these markets’ predicted explosive growth in the next coming decades. The next challenge is to manage to crack more mature markets like Brazil and Argentina and this will require a much more significant level of investments in the form of large scale manufacturing operations. But the rewards could be priceless: thanks to its brand-new factory producing models tailored to Brazilian tastes, Hyundai has tripled its market share in the space of a few months… No doubt the Chinese are watching with tremendous interest.

Stay tuned for Part 3 of this series: Eastern Europe!

Cuba October 2011: Geely ships second batch of cars

Emgrand EC7

Now that Cuban consumers can purchase a car freely, Chinese manufacturer Geely has shipped a batch of 1,560 cars to the country using all shipping logistics, composed of 1,310 units of the Geely CK and 250 units of the Emgrand EC7. These cars are destined to be used by the Defence and Tourism Ministries, rental car companies and possibly private buyers.

Geely CK

This is the second time Geely exports a batch of cars to Cuba after shipping 1,500 units of the Geely CK in 2009. Geely owns Swedish automaker Volvo and now exports to a significant numbers of countries around the world: Peru, Uruguay, Chile and Venezuela in South America, Bangladesh and Indonesia in Asia, Russia, Romania and Turkey in Europe, and South Africa. In 2011 Geely began exporting to Australia and New Zealand and last September it was the turn of Saudi Arabia.

Source below.

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Cuba: Car purchase now legalized!

Picture by Teemu R. All rights reserved.

Historical date today in Cuba: until now only people who bought a car before the 1959 revolution or those who were granted the right to purchase one afterwards for personal or political achievements could actually own their vehicles. From October 1, every Cuban citizen can now purchase a car, and it is also now legal to own more than one vehicle!

Picture by Faw. All rights reserved.

This will have a massive impact on the country’s car landscape, currently dominated by the “yank tanks”, pre-1959 vintage Americans, and Ladas as seen in my Cuban article. Recently Hyundai had made inroads with its Accent, Santro and i10, mainly to rental car companies, as well as the Chinese: Great Wall for commercial vehicles and Geely with police cars. Seat, Peugeot and Skoda are also present among others.

Picture by Robin Thom. All rights reserved.

Now the market is wide open and will be fascinating to follow over the next couple of years, keeping in mind the average monthly salary in Cuba is 17 dollars. Let’s say the yank tanks still have a few good years ahead of them…

Source, more pictures and Cuba street videos below.

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Cuba: Lada, Hyundai, Geely & vintage Americans dominate

Vintage American car in Cuba. Picture by Walter Lo Cascio. All rights reserved.

The Cuban car market structure is a fascinating testimony of the country’s last 60 years history. Its famous 1950’s American cars (60,000 are still in circulation), relics of the pre-revolutionary period, are now outnumbered by over 100,000 Ladas, the most visible legacy of the country’s Cold War alliance with the Soviet Union.

Lada in Cuba. Picture by Tom Eversley. All rights reserved.

More recently, Hyundai seems to have reaped the title of best-selling brand in Cuba, with the Hyundai Accent the probable Cuban best-seller, and the i10 and Santro also doing very well, especially with rental car companies

Hyundai Accent, possibly 2010 Cuban best-selling car, thanks to popularity with rental companies.

Lastly in 2009, government and police have started replacing their Ladas with Geely CK’s, symbolizing Cuba’s recent closer ties with China, with as much as 1,500 units imported in H1 ’09.

More commentaries, striking street scene pictures and informative street videos are below, click on ‘read more’ just below the Geely CK picture.

Police Geely CK, La Habana, Cuba 2009
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